NBA · resolved market
Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd579cd38b3202cd923eb1de0c3af8e9a04c91bd59db4f62af574698fbc5b028e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,557
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,557 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 61c | 2,761$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.91 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Yes | 42c | 2,061$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.29 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af8…a69ebacked Yes | 39c | 551.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.9 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 60c | 410.36$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 40c | 403.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.27 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 50c | 372.2$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed No | 50c | 293$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 589 | 51.3%302 W · 287 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 55c | 259.59$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.51 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…8498backed Yes | 39c | 243$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 59c | 229.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.47 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 60c | 188.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…30d3backed Yes | 38c | 170.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e1…d473backed No | 46c | 133.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2c…9374backed Yes | 40c | 113.35$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…bce5backed Yes | 53c | 112.23$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +60%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…e0cbbacked Yes | 39c | 106.15$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Yes | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 61c | 93.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…1932backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 50c | 72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Yes | 37c | 61.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 244 | 28.7%70 W · 174 L | -22.4wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 479 | 48.6%233 W · 246 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…9db7backed No | 47c | 38.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…37d5backed Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed No | 47c | 37.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed No | 47c | 35.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…bf55backed Yes | 54c | 34.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Yes | 54c | 32.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…ed19backed Yes | 54c | 31.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43c…ccd5backed Yes | 54c | 31.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 62c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5da…7f7fbacked Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Yes | 39c | 26.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Clippers vs. WarriorsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- John Collins: Points O/U 13.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.