TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Warriorsof Clippers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,368
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,368 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Warriors47c670.17$315 inWon+$355.195,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Clippers53c621.04$329 inLost-$329.1518650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Warriors62c395.07$246 inWon+$148.748956.4%276 W · 213 L+31.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Clippers39c324$125 inLost-$125.131,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Clippers54c233.33$126 inLost-$12628838.2%110 W · 178 L-17.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Warriors46c219$101 inWon+$118.262,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed Clippers42c151.17$63 inLost-$63.499552.6%50 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Warriors46c100$46 inWon+$542,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb975…e19abacked Clippers33c90.91$30 inLost-$301764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+46.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Clippers54c85.67$46 inLost-$46.264148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e7b…9716backed Warriors65c82.22$53 inWon+$28.781650%8 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e32…5a75backed Clippers51c74.76$38 inLost-$38.131346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Warriors52c48.16$25 inWon+$23.1610043%43 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Clippers53c47.17$25 inLost-$252339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d23…b55bbacked Warriors52c38.46$20 inWon+$18.4619861.6%122 W · 76 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ed3…983fbacked Warriors49c37.89$19 inWon+$19.321952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1193…e998backed Warriors49c36.87$18 inWon+$18.81050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe44e…c6b8backed Warriors64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.634040%16 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.