TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$137,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$138,562

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $137,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183d…1270backed Under53c16,020$8,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,473.574619.6%9 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over50c14,389$7,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,184.0151354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c10,596$5,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,189.994,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under50c7,278$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.8623147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Over49c6,123$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.7322648.2%109 W · 117 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over50c6,016$3,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,007.262,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under51c5,841$2,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.1337842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under51c5,686$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.2733447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under51c5,500$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,69582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,45077348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c4,994$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,377.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c4,138$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.661,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under52c3,341$1,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.9841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c2,929$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.14,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Under52c2,837$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.5422035.5%78 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over49c2,622$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.1638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under52c2,067$1,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.3212552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c2,000$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.9880737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x854d…681abacked Over49c1,955$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.95757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84626637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,435$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.596,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over30c1,204$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under71c1,052$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.621,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Under51c1,021$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.2818345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b6…3d60backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under53c897.87$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.4151146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over30c857.21$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.992,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c733.44$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.342,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c640.85$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.953,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over33c640.47$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2845452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over25c572$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1437334.2%25 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c533.43$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.333,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Under68c501.63$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.26872.1%49 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c467.61$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.528,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over43c439.41$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.8313835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under51c392.15$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1518147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under67c388.73$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9888057.5%506 W · 374 L+34.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Under71c383.19$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.8965542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over46c380.17$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4540243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c0…49bfbacked Over34c379$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.941816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Over34c355.29$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.84553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14416148.4%78 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under59c281.81$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.783,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over22c244.02$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4610623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over40c218.46$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.471,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9852242.7%223 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9107…b3e8backed Under51c198.08$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under49c162.2$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.52,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Over31c160.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.283158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed Over35c144.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2811850%59 W · 59 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Over51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.423435.9%84 W · 150 L-9.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Over50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706538.5%25 W · 40 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Under77c130.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.014358.1%25 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f2f…34b0backed Over48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Under52c120.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5822746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over50c118.78$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.991,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Under52c113.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3691148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Over25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254035%14 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Under51c97.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.17152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x220e…3b20backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under51c96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0423946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over48c93.75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Over49c90.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4121854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Over25c78.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x839d…592cbacked Under52c72.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.61190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.5wins+0.41per pick50cpaid+84.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4c4d…884bbacked Under74c64.68$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.682669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4bf…c71ebacked Over47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Over48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3029351.9%152 W · 141 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under52c61.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5335551.3%182 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over49c61.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3031151.1%159 W · 152 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed Over48c60.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.043348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd6…bf96backed Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023051.3%118 W · 112 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3d95…373fbacked Under52c59.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.562352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36a…ad01backed Over51c58.96$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over49c58$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4246447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f9…6384backed Over49c54.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Over36c52.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921637.5%81 W · 135 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Under51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0224042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over51c48.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9667248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under49c48.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.961,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked Over50c45.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.82875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+43.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x592e…0906backed Over50c43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.55160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Under68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.817243%74 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Over49c39.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.615253.3%81 W · 71 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2617844.4%79 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under51c38.29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.865,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd7c…8abcbacked Under50c37.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.88683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81b0…5159backed Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7411851.7%61 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.