TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x592e…0906

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT5250%26 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9
Sharks vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Hurricanes vs. Lightningbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$13.62
Rangers vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Avalanche vs. Jetsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.59
Ducks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$16.58
Blues vs. Hurricanesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+234.4%+$26.03
Flames vs. Devilsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+171%+$19.4
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+194.3%+$23.85
Canadiens vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
Capitals vs. Flyersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Islanders vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Kings vs. Bruinsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.46
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Senators vs. Canucksbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$6.15
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Flames vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Blues vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canucks vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.94
Islanders vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.09
Senators vs. Flamesbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+63.9%+$10.23
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT5160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.85
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.47
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$6.47
Rockets vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Knicks vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.75
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Cavaliers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$15.91
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$10.31
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Raptors vs. Rocketsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Suns vs. Bucksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$13.28
Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$5.94
Grizzlies vs. Nets: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.79
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.7
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.14
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.52
Pistons vs. Heatbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Mavericks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.99
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.9
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Red Sox vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$28.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 22, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$76.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.