Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc97f02a523c3a7e70c5fed5070db301967212cff9eb5abc30afd528e10b1ffb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $470,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $487,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $470,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 234 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe215…93a7backed No | 34c | 98,025$33,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,328.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b93…ee1cbacked Yes | 66c | 98,025$64,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,328.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8744…370bbacked Yes | 77c | 48,302$37,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,109.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001c…43f2backed No | 23c | 48,302$11,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,109.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d5…5e0cbacked Yes | 67c | 7,096$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,322.34 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 12c | 6,859$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.61 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 17c | 5,544$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.53 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddb…9622backed No | 21c | 4,777$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 4,594$3,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.18 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 17c | 4,220$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.88 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 76c | 3,930$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.85 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 76c | 3,927$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.65 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a61…2c6bbacked No | 28c | 3,207$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.29 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 16c | 2,561$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.42 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed No | 25c | 2,498$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d19…8055backed Yes | 79c | 2,130$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193f…5acbbacked No | 6c | 1,907$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed No | 1c | 1,650$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 64c | 1,621$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.4 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 20c | 1,588$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.04 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Yes | 76c | 1,563$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.94 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 2c | 1,477$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 71c | 1,476$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.57 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…b09ebacked No | 24c | 1,439$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.42 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed No | 22c | 1,420$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 25c | 1,398$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.89 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d2f2backed No | 30c | 1,327$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.36 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…79d0backed No | 16c | 1,300$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked No | 22c | 1,269$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 66c | 1,205$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.85 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked No | 40c | 1,200$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.25 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 17c | 1,155$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.34 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 1c | 1,124$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 153 | 32.7%50 W · 103 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea0…049cbacked No | 28c | 1,115$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 78c | 896.84$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd535…fa67backed No | 20c | 855.83$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.66 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked No | 12c | 804.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…30a9backed Yes | 72c | 789.75$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.04 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…65d2backed No | 29c | 786.78$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 34c | 736.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…7948backed Yes | 80c | 713.74$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 55c | 651.94$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.02 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dee…d437backed Yes | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 606.33$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…5ca2backed Yes | 78c | 603.12$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.97 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1ebabacked Yes | 78c | 600$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 45c | 600$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.2 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed No | 41c | 590.94$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed No | 6c | 538$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 25c | 537.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 75c | 526.18$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +118%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 6c | 514.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 116 | 12.9%15 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1581…6cadbacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2478…2e62backed No | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 72c | 467.12$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.39 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 78c | 464.98$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ea…0140backed No | 24c | 441.27$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…eec4backed No | 23c | 441.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 19c | 409.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked No | 30c | 401.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.17 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 29c | 395$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 151 | 55%83 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed Yes | 70c | 390.26$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 358.44$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 37c | 341.81$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f8…f705backed No | 24c | 339.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.47 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 75c | 318.02$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.73 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 29c | 315.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92a7…85c0backed Yes | 79c | 315.1$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked Yes | 63c | 312.75$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…4a4dbacked Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd41…8ebbbacked Yes | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…507bbacked Yes | 51c | 296.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.53 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 70c | 295.75$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked No | 26c | 290$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 17c | 273.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…bea8backed Yes | 76c | 267.76$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b3…10febacked Yes | 76c | 262.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6181…ad60backed Yes | 66c | 260.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1f…76c9backed Yes | 78c | 255.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0533…cf1cbacked No | 18c | 250$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 20c | 248.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed No | 29c | 243.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…7d81backed No | 25c | 241.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…0906backed No | 17c | 235$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 76c | 233.48$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 73c | 228.93$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.98 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…7efabacked No | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…1b64backed Yes | 77c | 212.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…5adebacked No | 24c | 204.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 22c | 200.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbba4…f8c6backed Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked No | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Colombia in the first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.