Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc34a195450f04ccf23515c37f758a70ec3ed3b876e509b11a5de614479b29f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $151,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ac3…f3b0backed No | 27c | 28,000$7,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,560 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c0…9cb4backed Yes | 73c | 28,000$20,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,560 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 64c | 9,691$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,235.17 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…58c7backed Yes | 53c | 8,950$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,204.12 | 88 | 20.5%18 W · 70 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 62c | 6,065$3,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,291.5 | 180 | 33.3%60 W · 120 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cb…9dafbacked Yes | 2c | 5,354$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,814.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 3c | 4,981$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,837.66 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 12c | 4,750$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,170.55 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 65c | 3,843$2,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,484.88 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 40c | 2,507$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.01 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 29c | 2,439$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…8c3dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed No | 28c | 1,253$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.72 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 18c | 1,122$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 111 | 21.6%24 W · 87 L | +11.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +179.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 18c | 1,122$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.72 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01a4…0064backed No | 32c | 1,096$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.19 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc178…35b3backed No | 57c | 1,048$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.46 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +10.2wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 40c | 940.05$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.86 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 18c | 921.56$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 52c | 915.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.27 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 7c | 833.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 54c | 755$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.97 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb90…bc2fbacked No | 57c | 735.61$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 67c | 711.29$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.38 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed No | 27c | 674.85$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 50c | 660.94$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.98 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed Yes | 53c | 591.89$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.19 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4498…06a8backed Yes | 51c | 586.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 22c | 572.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 71c | 548.96$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…a5afbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…7948backed Yes | 75c | 489.2$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.34 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked No | 46c | 468.39$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.64 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb882…e13ebacked Yes | 54c | 442.76$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 43c | 342.66$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.16 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc6…4ddebacked Yes | 53c | 317.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 18c | 312.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8356…7ad1backed Yes | 72c | 308.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…7575backed Yes | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 55c | 274.99$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed No | 42c | 274.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.92 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…796dbacked No | 64c | 262.23$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x631a…73cabacked Yes | 79c | 255.06$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 47c | 249.99$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.49 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked No | 44c | 225.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 25c | 222.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.17 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8659…9178backed No | 41c | 217.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 9c | 206.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.31 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 31c | 200.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…f4e2backed No | 51c | 197.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Yes | 70c | 193.27$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 53c | 175.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.13 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7813…eeccbacked Yes | 33c | 165$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…92cebacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.8 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 49c | 158$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.88 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf265…348dbacked No | 46c | 146.06$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…649abacked No | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…a638backed Yes | 57c | 139.2$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 27c | 138.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.22 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 56c | 135$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 52c | 132.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed No | 57c | 124.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 117.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd7…a691backed Yes | 38c | 116.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 47c | 112.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.12 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked No | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…d8b0backed No | 45c | 110.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…ed20backed Yes | 54c | 106.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 74 | 75.7%56 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac7…6b3abacked Yes | 55c | 104$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 27c | 103.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 193 | 28.5%55 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x743b…df30backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +400%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…ce7fbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…5adebacked No | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbb…00eebacked No | 48c | 92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9d…446dbacked No | 22c | 91.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ce…da52backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508c…3449backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e3…b326backed No | 48c | 77.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd15…1796backed No | 51c | 72.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…1ee7backed Yes | 74c | 67.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -6.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed Yes | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 29c | 66.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa568…12f6backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138e…42b4backed Yes | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed No | 45c | 59.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e4…c8abbacked Yes | 42c | 58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…742bbacked Yes | 79c | 55.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd713…4662backed Yes | 39c | 55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5983…64a8backed No | 28c | 50.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 39c | 50.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 172 | 38.4%66 W · 106 L | -14.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked No | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…b284backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?this page
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on China in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Colombia in the first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Denmark in the first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Panama in the first 100 days?No won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on Taiwan in the first 100 days?Yes won
- Will Trump impose tariffs on the EU in the first 100 days?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.