NHL · resolved market
Flames vs. Devils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dac62a81695fea573ab0d3eac76ddfce4c5cae365011d8e63d1e5690dcbd5c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flamesof Flames, Devils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,749 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Devils | 64c | 143,173$91,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,628.13 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Flames | 37c | 126,898$46,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,948.07 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Devils | 63c | 101,678$63,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,860.27 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Flames | 36c | 73,023$26,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,734.86 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Flames | 36c | 59,012$21,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,741.05 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Devils | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Flames | 36c | 34,368$12,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,995.69 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Devils | 63c | 23,894$15,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,053.5 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Devils | 63c | 20,000$12,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,600 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Flames | 38c | 20,000$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,401.22 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Devils | 58c | 14,276$8,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,219.1 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Devils | 64c | 14,000$8,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,959.96 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Flames | 36c | 13,841$4,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,858.24 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Devils | 64c | 12,000$7,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,680 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Flames | 62c | 11,673$7,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392.55 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flames | 36c | 11,000$4,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,990 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Flames | 37c | 10,000$3,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,302.6 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Devils | 16c | 9,923$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.71 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Flames | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.99 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Devils | 59c | 7,383$4,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.61 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Flames | 41c | 7,123$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.57 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Flames | 41c | 7,046$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.08 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flames | 54c | 6,945$3,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.91 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Devils | 64c | 5,500$3,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.5 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Flames | 36c | 5,471$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,501.64 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Devils | 59c | 5,350$3,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,156.5 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Devils | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…1e59backed Flames | 36c | 4,739$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,032.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flames | 71c | 4,651$3,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.9 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Flames | 36c | 4,260$1,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.4 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Flames | 36c | 4,203$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.35 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Flames | 37c | 4,054$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,554.33 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Devils | 30c | 4,050$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.77 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Devils | 63c | 3,699$2,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.37 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Devils | 59c | 3,587$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.15 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Devils | 31c | 3,545$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.72 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Devils | 32c | 3,536$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.68 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Devils | 6c | 3,504$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.54 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Flames | 37c | 3,049$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.32 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flames | 65c | 3,041$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.18 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Flames | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Flames | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Devils | 35c | 2,632$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Devils | 63c | 2,539$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.39 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Devils | 64c | 2,500$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.14 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af7…02a6backed Devils | 65c | 2,405$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Flames | 36c | 2,300$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.92 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flames | 36c | 2,222$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.08 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flames | 42c | 2,007$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.9 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Devils | 63c | 1,999$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.37 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Flames | 70c | 1,958$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.55 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…f97ebacked Flames | 36c | 1,903$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,217.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Flames | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Flames | 67c | 1,720$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.53 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Devils | 63c | 1,697$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Flames | 37c | 1,596$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.62 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Devils | 38c | 1,495$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.64 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c84…4effbacked Devils | 40c | 1,404$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ab…c40ebacked Flames | 41c | 1,402$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Flames | 37c | 1,353$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.01 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Flames | 40c | 1,341$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.84 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Flames | 36c | 1,325$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.85 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Flames | 74c | 1,281$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.15 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Devils | 39c | 1,270$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Flames | 79c | 1,227$967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.84 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Devils | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Flames | 63c | 1,178$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.51 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Flames | 60c | 1,111$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.79 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Flames | 37c | 1,100$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.54 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Devils | 32c | 1,070$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.67 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Flames | 36c | 1,065$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.57 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Devils | 47c | 1,057$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Devils | 50c | 1,033$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.77 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…ebfbbacked Flames | 60c | 1,022$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Flames | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Devils | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Devils | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Devils | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Devils | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.58 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Devils | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Devils | 61c | 917.13$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.45 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Flames | 42c | 913$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Flames | 64c | 871$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.28 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Devils | 58c | 870$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flames | 37c | 813.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.01 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Flames | 70c | 759.28$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.77 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed Flames | 36c | 752.09$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.09 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6563…5025backed Flames | 37c | 730$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Devils | 63c | 697$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.15 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Flames | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.44 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Flames | 71c | 676.86$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.99 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Flames | 61c | 660.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Devils | 64c | 657.28$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Flames | 36c | 656.55$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.19 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Devils | 26c | 649.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Flames | 36c | 639.03$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…090dbacked Devils | 40c | 625$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b4…70abbacked Flames | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Flames | 44c | 600.41$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.76 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flames vs. Devilsthis page
- Flames vs. Devils: O/U 4.5Over won
- Flames vs. Devils: O/U 5.5Over won
- Flames vs. Devils: O/U 6.5Over won
- Flames vs. Devils: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Devils (-1.5)Flames won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.