TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flames vs. Devils: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,056,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,056,676 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over52c589,496$306,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283,156.4520354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Under49c408,655$199,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199,081.7867051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c120,197$57,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,743.661,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under49c100,046$49,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,022.2139047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over50c21,196$10,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,536.31,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Over51c20,000$10,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c15,686$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,686.340356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over51c11,451$5,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,610.630348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c10,078$5,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,939.021,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under48c8,385$4,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,024.840351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c7,500$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.989547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under49c5,555$2,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.957949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Over51c5,044$2,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.6112047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96039752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Under48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,92029146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,96068449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c2,222$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2196…da90backed Over52c2,020$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.0627048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under49c2,000$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.836647%31 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c1,696$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.8391653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under49c1,525$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.2583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.967338.4%28 W · 45 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c933.04$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.241,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Over51c761.35$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.3815651.3%80 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over51c661$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.5561953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29432648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda4…7a71backed Under69c552.21$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under49c404.8$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3516235.2%57 W · 105 L-9.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.438445.8%176 W · 208 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Under49c329.62$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2714353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over51c305.2$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.5519356%108 W · 85 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Under49c257.44$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.42045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4bd…20e9backed Under49c246.86$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.126857.4%39 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c216.11$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.111,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…9ae9backed Over52c207.69$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.696645.5%30 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c204.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9942948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10026154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7b…b60fbacked Under49c190$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.9120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7ac…b64bbacked Under49c168$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over51c159.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.459950.4%302 W · 297 L+20.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Over51c152.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.7712947.3%61 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under49c138.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.712335%43 W · 80 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cf8…8aacbacked Under49c137$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05be…d651backed Under50c132.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6629949.8%149 W · 150 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under13c127$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.632,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Under49c122.84$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.847746.8%36 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c103.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.132,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0d…a3cebacked Under49c101.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Under50c100.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030951.1%158 W · 151 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Over52c100.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0521060%126 W · 84 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x838a…0815backed Under48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over51c98.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0378651.8%407 W · 379 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under49c98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0213758.4%80 W · 57 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over52c96.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8911650.9%59 W · 57 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under48c95.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.0428542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1c…9626backed Over52c94$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under49c84.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.318138.3%31 W · 50 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-25%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xf463…4cc1backed Over63c75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc046…f138backed Under50c70.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510355.3%57 W · 46 L+7.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x72ed…ebccbacked Over52c68$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under44c64.02$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under50c60.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305048%24 W · 26 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8856553.6%303 W · 262 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17a2…90ffbacked Over52c57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.362100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Under49c56.86$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0627652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over68c52.19$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.831,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce9…4a78backed Over52c52$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd3…433fbacked Over52c51$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Under50c50.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513648.5%66 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3092444.5%411 W · 513 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0922…d5dcbacked Under49c47.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Over52c46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.136855.9%38 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2181…8fefbacked Over52c44$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d65…4072backed Over51c43.13$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.132147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a41…145fbacked Under50c40.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88bd…c088backed Under49c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.563336.4%12 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.223040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2254049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6093…eeabbacked Over52c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27c5…0d4cbacked Over52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cc9…c447backed Under50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.961250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09bb…5cadbacked Over52c36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f45…f2eabacked Over52c34$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Under32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2438447.4%182 W · 202 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe29a…0620backed Under49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+448%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc893…c015backed Over52c28.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.841442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.59944.4%44 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed Under49c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.259354.8%51 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68fa…b21bbacked Under49c22.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over57c22.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.543,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under50c21.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8621754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9e…d350backed Under49c20.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Over51c20.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.119757.7%56 W · 41 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb39…65edbacked Over52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2224…96e3backed Over52c19.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.531258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over51c19.61$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6114743.5%64 W · 83 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd400…28b8backed Over79c17.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.