TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Trail Blazers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Pacers, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,425,807

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,425,807 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Pacers22c189,778$41,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,844.0143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers77c92,872$71,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,159.451,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Pacers23c50,000$11,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,499.7411955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Trail Blazers78c49,212$38,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,826.7336549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pacers0c48,406$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.691,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Pacers23c46,210$10,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,478.362347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers78c38,723$30,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,477.244,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Pacers22c33,247$7,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,342.7447028.1%132 W · 338 L+27.2wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Trail Blazers76c32,651$24,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,852.9228649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Pacers24c31,326$7,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,518.266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Pacers25c29,900$7,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,47511737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Pacers1c28,532$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.331,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2133…816ebacked Trail Blazers78c25,689$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,589.231662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers76c24,654$18,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,009.891,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Pacers22c24,387$5,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,365.1527424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Pacers21c17,554$3,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,691.911428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Pacers0c17,374$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7523630.1%71 W · 165 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Pacers23c14,231$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.6928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02b6…fbbbbacked Trail Blazers78c13,731$10,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,020.893256.3%18 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers77c13,435$10,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,062.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Pacers5c13,090$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.111,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Trail Blazers75c12,985$9,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,227.126353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers24c12,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers77c12,132$9,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,781.914,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Trail Blazers78c11,941$9,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.761,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers77c11,190$8,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Pacers23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Pacers10c10,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018931.2%59 W · 130 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Pacers23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.8332039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Trail Blazers78c9,896$7,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,177.224143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers22c9,876$2,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.054,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Trail Blazers78c9,103$7,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,003.18662.8%54 W · 32 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Pacers1c8,848$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.291,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked Pacers23c8,148$1,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,873.778728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Pacers1c8,072$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4326637.2%99 W · 167 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Pacers22c7,437$1,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.712,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Pacers1c6,684$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.975213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers77c6,540$5,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,504.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Pacers21c6,500$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3501,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Trail Blazers77c6,196$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.122,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7e4…3564backed Pacers2c6,024$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144287.1%2 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick13cpaid+72%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0577…caa7backed Pacers23c5,970$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3731127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-59.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Trail Blazers78c5,697$4,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.4432151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…c686backed Pacers23c5,654$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Pacers14c5,370$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.863,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers23c5,050$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.381,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Pacers4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Pacers23c5,000$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,149.738434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers78c4,925$3,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.293,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Pacers4c4,840$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1229547.5%140 W · 155 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Pacers15c4,757$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.171,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Trail Blazers78c4,682$3,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.1241832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Trail Blazers78c4,501$3,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.9451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ca…9f73backed Pacers22c4,259$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.932540.3%131 W · 194 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Pacers0c4,114$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.418820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c27…b9e5backed Trail Blazers78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.07728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-60.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Pacers2c3,939$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers78c3,846$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.421,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pacers10c3,838$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8487…a68bbacked Pacers5c3,600$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806741.8%28 W · 39 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Trail Blazers78c3,500$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.698953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa67b…c941backed Trail Blazers78c3,399$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.13661.1%22 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc25d…9107backed Trail Blazers79c3,237$2,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.71862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Pacers23c3,199$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.4330157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2628…757bbacked Pacers1c3,090$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.753912.8%5 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Trail Blazers78c3,083$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.531931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Pacers23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.656939.1%27 W · 42 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Pacers22c3,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.9886641.5%359 W · 507 L-2.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Pacers24c2,963$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.2720741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers1c2,943$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x201b…c382backed Trail Blazers80c2,849$2,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.68450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Pacers23c2,746$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.4295651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Trail Blazers78c2,741$2,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.7164517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa828…7ecbbacked Trail Blazers78c2,678$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.5887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick71cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers78c2,625$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1acc…8fe0backed Pacers23c2,505$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.1218043.9%79 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x81ab…2ae0backed Pacers23c2,502$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick35cpaid+53.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Pacers22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9643438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Pacers24c2,321$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.5536718.5%68 W · 299 L-36.8wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Pacers20c2,196$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.1658740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Pacers23c2,175$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2522143%95 W · 126 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3280…ea74backed Pacers23c2,175$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009531.6%30 W · 65 L-11.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7ae1…242abacked Pacers22c2,174$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.73633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…a140backed Pacers27c2,153$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.934250%21 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+36.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Pacers23c2,100$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.7971547.7%341 W · 374 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Pacers23c2,084$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.5512524.8%31 W · 94 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf0…3156backed Trail Blazers77c2,073$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.7950338.4%193 W · 310 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5aa…9134backed Trail Blazers75c2,072$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51819957.8%115 W · 84 L+18.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Trail Blazers77c2,042$1,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.5739349.1%193 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Pacers25c2,004$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.9110225.5%26 W · 76 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Pacers23c2,002$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46014448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Pacers22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.0165939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Pacers21c2,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.7161740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Pacers24c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47061336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Pacers22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44048944.2%216 W · 273 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers22c1,900$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers21c1,846$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.7472450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a59…9a2fbacked Trail Blazers78c1,825$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.5516863.1%106 W · 62 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Pacers22c1,785$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.035044%22 W · 28 L+7.1wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0b05…434ebacked Pacers23c1,661$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.124325.6%11 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.