NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f7a7292c539754b8c1a49123b8867e09230dce65374b8aed623dbdb7f18f50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,294 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 39c | 2,772$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.09 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 61c | 2,608$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.16 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 47c | 1,400$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,079$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.17 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6eb…5402backed Over | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 40c | 485.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.05 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 475.86$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.56 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 60c | 355$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 45c | 312$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe170…afacbacked Over | 53c | 273.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…20eebacked Under | 45c | 267.39$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 358 | 43.6%156 W · 202 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Over | 53c | 218.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.55 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 60c | 208$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 203.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.43 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 45c | 195.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 45c | 156$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 133.61$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 49c | 128.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 54c | 94.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 60c | 76.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Over | 54c | 65.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.11 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 60c | 51.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 58c | 48.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 58c | 47.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…4e91backed Under | 48c | 41.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 55c | 38.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 37.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…48e8backed Over | 54c | 37.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Under | 49c | 34.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 47c | 30.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Pacers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.