TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,959

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,959 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Under49c22,421$11,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,017.319,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Over51c21,924$11,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,765.141,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0940…b0fbbacked Under50c10,000$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a9…6b29backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Over50c3,572$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,78624053.8%129 W · 111 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over51c2,965$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.852,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,820$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.474,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under50c2,490$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24565750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under45c2,472$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.434,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over49c1,885$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.5422055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under50c1,848$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.613,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under52c1,400$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73280737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c1,359$693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.922,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under49c1,330$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.544,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over55c1,267$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.513,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.83,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over52c481$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.471,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5966…af5dbacked Under54c449.28$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.7131354.3%170 W · 143 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c447$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.54,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over57c407.13$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.292,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under49c387.06$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.591,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over51c386.54$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1902,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c373.89$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.481,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under50c373$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.951354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c318.33$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.343,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c305.58$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.96,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under49c255.77$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.331,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under58c203.42$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.331,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Over55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Under52c199.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044540%18 W · 27 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over61c199$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.841,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.041,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Over54c192.37$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.4353149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over55c168.94$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.021,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under11c160.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.221,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over53c160.12$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.93,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c155.19$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.832,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under32c140.55$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.311,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c118.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.885,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Under53c116.95$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908e…6db0backed Under52c113.34$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891f…88bfbacked Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3023249.6%115 W · 117 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under50c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.51,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe276…a85bbacked Under52c96.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0212552%65 W · 60 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Under45c94$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230840.9%126 W · 182 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Under28c90.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under41c88.05$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.52,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked Under47c85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.957048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Over48c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.616951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under33c76.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5990357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under50c75.82$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.271,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Under50c68.09$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0515347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3532654.3%177 W · 149 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e8…3a5dbacked Under52c64.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3454854.2%297 W · 251 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked Over71c61.18$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0536154.8%198 W · 163 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Over51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.316150.9%82 W · 79 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under38c56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1646940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under53c52.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b41…01c7backed Under49c51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9953839.4%212 W · 326 L-26.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under53c50.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bf…657bbacked Under30c50.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2593145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01e2…cca2backed Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Under49c49.2$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1111652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under21c49.06$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.31,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Under41c45.67$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9410951.4%56 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Over49c41.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.316643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Over56c37.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1645452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under49c37.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.261,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under33c31.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1552230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29aa…e4eabacked Over47c30.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342119%4 W · 17 L-5.5wins-0.26per pick45cpaid-59.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2482…a721backed Under50c30.28$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.997646.1%35 W · 41 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c0d…2044backed Under46c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.83548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under44c29.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.240243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cc…3132backed Under51c29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7911229.5%33 W · 79 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over52c28.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9120741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked Over53c27.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6914858.1%86 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under49c27.03$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3523350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Under50c26.44$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24f7…3dcebacked Over76c26.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick73cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa17d…77babacked Over79c25.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3862.5%5 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick77cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf11e…de4dbacked Over79c25.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick75cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5934…1f8abacked Over79c25.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.31172.7%8 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under47c24.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.71,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x478e…0c83backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1019346.1%89 W · 104 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6a…d38abacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over75c14.4$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.5476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.