NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2817a85aef240a5b0bfafb53af94a132b48f7a2ba785dc158b46e69271495dd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $272,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $272,561 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 46,430$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,429.5 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23b6…3eeebacked Pacers | 49c | 26,570$13,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,019.3 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers | 47c | 19,160$9,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,005.26 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pacers | 46c | 13,127$6,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,059.9 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Pacers | 48c | 11,514$5,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,526.8 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pacers | 46c | 11,179$5,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,168.37 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pacers | 46c | 8,299$3,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,811.63 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 7,407$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.31 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…05b9backed Pacers | 49c | 4,984$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…6fbcbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,882$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…c8c3backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,686$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 4,233$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,116.3 | 293 | 52.6%154 W · 139 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x579f…4ef1backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,188$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…a9b4backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 4,124$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.76 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pacers | 56c | 3,999$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.36 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x605d…cec3backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.78 | 154 | 50.6%78 W · 76 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552e…bf1bbacked Pacers | 49c | 3,631$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3179…ef6dbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,614$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ead…6370backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,608$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,767.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb3…f82ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,496$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b6…301ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,383$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,120$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.5 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c6…bef3backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 3,062$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Pacers | 51c | 2,571$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.09 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 2,501$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.38 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Pacers | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,328$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.3 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Pacers | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Pacers | 48c | 2,070$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.57 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Pacers | 48c | 1,529$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 1,337$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Pacers | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 995.61$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.89 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 52c | 940.22$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 882.84$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.43 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a9…642dbacked Pacers | 48c | 809.55$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.48 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers | 46c | 763.7$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.54 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 724.99$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.02 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Pacers | 48c | 696.22$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.27 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Pacers | 46c | 650$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers | 55c | 644.54$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Pacers | 48c | 629.99$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 304 | 52.6%160 W · 144 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Pacers | 47c | 576.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.76 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Pacers | 48c | 522.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Pacers | 48c | 521.02$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 358 | 49.7%178 W · 180 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Pacers | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Pacers | 47c | 487$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.89 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pacers | 50c | 481.74$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 545 | 49.5%270 W · 275 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 435.26$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Pacers | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pacers | 56c | 339.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.37 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 300.24$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473c…422bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 290.57$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Pacers | 46c | 287.95$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.02 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 272.46$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 264.22$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.83 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 240.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbd…5198backed Pacers | 49c | 228$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 205.22$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 203.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.63 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Pacers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b1…2f74backed Pacers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Pacers | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eec…89babacked Pacers | 48c | 162.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Pacers | 50c | 160.5$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Pacers | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Pacers | 46c | 157.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 154.92$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.56 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…a1f5backed Pacers | 52c | 150.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 146.96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.55 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Pacers | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 217 | 43.8%95 W · 122 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3f0dbacked Pacers | 49c | 141$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Pacers | 56c | 140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 136.4$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Pacers | 50c | 136$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pacers | 46c | 132.46$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 132.44$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Pacers | 48c | 128.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.87 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Pacers | 56c | 122.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Pacers | 46c | 112.8$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Pacers | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 105.38$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.41 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Pacers | 48c | 105.3$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 104.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 1,197 | 48.9%585 W · 612 L | -14.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Pacers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Pacers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c0…e4c7backed Pacers | 48c | 93.32$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Pacers | 47c | 92.28$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.37 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Pacers | 55c | 91.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pacers | 47c | 82.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 78.8$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.71 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Pacers | 56c | 78.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Pacers | 55c | 63.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Pacers | 48c | 60.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Pacers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.