NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d09ec4f7f90df67015655c85e5778fc9e82e50d3157c00203924f19096e5aeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,615 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 8,748$4,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 51c | 8,736$4,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,455.36 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Over | 49c | 7,704$3,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.24 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 4,182$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.02 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 54c | 2,783$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.61 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 2,576$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.15 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Over | 48c | 2,035$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.37 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Under | 51c | 1,635$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.68 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 991$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.84 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 922.52$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.38 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 857.33$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.81 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 785.36$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 53c | 526.25$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.07 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Under | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 275.94$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.97 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 53c | 266.34$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 259.11$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 41c | 225.92$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 207 | 41.1%85 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 48c | 210.79$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Under | 54c | 203.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 51c | 198.97$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.14 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…c413backed Under | 50c | 198.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Over | 52c | 192.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 56c | 110.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe276…a85bbacked Over | 47c | 104.7$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Under | 53c | 94.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 54c | 90.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Over | 50c | 82.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Under | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 47c | 63.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 61.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Over | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 55.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.97 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xae9f…4967backed Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 51c | 38.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…1f45backed Over | 49c | 38.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2d…cd74backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 52c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Over | 49c | 24.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3a…9232backed Under | 55c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…f39ebacked Under | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe609…4eaabacked Under | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…b7f4backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 238.5this page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-4.5)Trail Blazers won
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-5.5)Trail Blazers won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Deni Avdija: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Pacers vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 115.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 236.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Over won
- Pascal Siakam: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Trail Blazers won
- Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.