TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Flyers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Rangers, Flyers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$559,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $559,498 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 595 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Flyers15c166,117$25,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,608.4948545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers45c101,491$45,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,136.751,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers54c24,889$13,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,538.881,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Flyers31c13,542$4,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,246.7912838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Flyers56c13,489$7,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,586.391,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Flyers56c13,140$7,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,357.0636648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Rangers72c12,226$8,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.6889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Rangers43c9,891$4,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,598.0461748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers55c9,259$5,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,092.711,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Flyers56c8,929$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.9932151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Flyers56c8,921$5,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,030.151,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Flyers55c8,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,40026058.8%153 W · 107 L+17.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers43c7,311$3,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,167.3756152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Rangers76c7,266$5,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,723.462951.2%322 W · 307 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers44c6,360$2,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,538.4861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5555…2af1backed Flyers55c6,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3004440.9%18 W · 26 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Rangers72c5,871$4,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Flyers56c5,335$3,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,013.5863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb109…0a3cbacked Rangers44c4,998$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.71333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Rangers60c4,983$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.210650%53 W · 53 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers57c4,888$2,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,770.6191945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Flyers56c3,572$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00085250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers42c3,440$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.381,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers8c3,341$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.4260337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Rangers44c3,261$1,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,826.033447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Flyers55c3,023$1,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.691,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Rangers43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.091,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c8…2649backed Rangers44c3,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,680.243100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Rangers43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9933243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6780…3a22backed Flyers56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88eb…9394backed Flyers15c2,860$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.61553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+19.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2378…4ba4backed Flyers55c2,691$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Flyers6c2,665$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.2339344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Flyers56c2,572$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.9689249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Flyers56c2,540$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.14252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Flyers57c2,500$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Rangers42c2,475$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.6967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Rangers43c2,400$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.183652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Flyers29c2,378$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.592,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x539f…4d03backed Flyers55c2,306$1,269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb913…e10dbacked Flyers56c2,026$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a17…1b84backed Rangers45c2,001$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.163756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b65…2cf8backed Rangers44c2,001$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+35.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Flyers57c1,975$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.164252.4%22 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Flyers55c1,948$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.5347951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Flyers56c1,881$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.1445955.1%253 W · 206 L+1.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e96…f4cabacked Flyers56c1,800$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,008650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers56c1,770$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Flyers56c1,753$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.8414837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rangers75c1,698$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.273,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Flyers56c1,684$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.281,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Rangers74c1,684$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.191,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Flyers43c1,616$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1f…039dbacked Rangers44c1,600$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+52.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Flyers57c1,587$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.7260249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers56c1,582$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.9279350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Flyers57c1,510$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.7243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Flyers11c1,500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1654637%17 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Flyers56c1,416$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79329551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Flyers58c1,401$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.0543456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Flyers56c1,384$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78036948%177 W · 192 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Flyers40c1,371$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.9857157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e12…84debacked Flyers56c1,340$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.39540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Flyers56c1,312$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.7820552.2%107 W · 98 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Flyers56c1,311$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.9361953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e9…2d2bbacked Rangers43c1,210$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd937…9e8ebacked Rangers44c1,156$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.381250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aee…5fb6backed Rangers45c1,134$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Flyers55c1,127$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62059450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ac…2235backed Rangers43c1,100$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Flyers2c1,075$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254049.4%267 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Flyers11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11017353.8%93 W · 80 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Flyers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5809853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77d…2a5bbacked Flyers58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d0…02ccbacked Flyers56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Flyers57c999.99$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9945749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…48bcbacked Flyers56c966.73$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.372650%13 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Flyers57c962.18$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.872,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Flyers11c949.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039343%169 W · 224 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4948…38a3backed Rangers45c935.31$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.772352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b7…5f1abacked Rangers44c910$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.621338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0841…c199backed Flyers56c902.86$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.31553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…3458backed Rangers44c900$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Flyers56c900$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.722352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf0f…21bebacked Flyers57c890$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc488…b183backed Flyers58c875.93$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3d…4239backed Flyers56c825.79$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.092147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Rangers43c817.89$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6133447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd64d…3d3bbacked Flyers58c800$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Flyers55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44033652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Rangers68c739.44$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5319963.8%127 W · 72 L+27.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xf92a…f202backed Flyers57c730$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.091050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…41eabacked Rangers43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Rangers44c700$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.078060%48 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Flyers58c690.96$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ede…17cbbacked Flyers56c609.55$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3406958%40 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa225…3209backed Rangers43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Rangers71c594.85$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.271,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2434…9b23backed Flyers58c592.46$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.532268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+35.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c93…a678backed Flyers5c550.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.