TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$577,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $577,618 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c395,507$206,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206,846.2320354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over48c204,652$97,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106,965.6139047.9%187 W · 203 L-13.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c133,322$69,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,327.285050%25 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c120,045$57,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,992.731,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over48c41,123$19,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,385.9726849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c22,500$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,8501,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Over48c20,000$9,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40022443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c19,475$9,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,12751452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c19,294$9,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,032.7451550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Over48c15,296$7,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,953.9215949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over48c11,050$5,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,721.7386852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over48c9,602$4,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,992.810146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c7,009$3,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.62,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Over48c6,470$3,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,364.45639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over48c5,760$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.218641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6008845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under51c4,928$2,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,513.2227243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.678544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c4,046$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.32,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over49c3,977$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.0162346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over47c3,499$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.7368449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Over48c3,333$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.167949.4%39 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under53c3,222$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.882646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over51c2,813$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.4591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Over49c2,700$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3779752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over48c2,475$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2874856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Under53c2,265$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c2,239$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.375242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Over47c2,150$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1293345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04012947.3%61 W · 68 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa0…b8a3backed Over48c1,868$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under52c1,793$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.312437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c1,780$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9359450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Over50c1,691$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.4664242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over48c1,563$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.51,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c1,523$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.051,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under53c1,285$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.683339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over49c1,247$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.8836648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under51c1,173$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.2313053.8%70 W · 60 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under50c1,155$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.0843456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae8…6a00backed Under50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over48c1,024$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.2558841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52011855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over48c994$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.8826551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c961.53$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa7…0f28backed Under50c900$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c885.09$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.9491653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under53c879.7$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.1529448.6%143 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Under48c837.9$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.1983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under50c810$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40533950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Under51c754.98$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.0489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c729$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.0883149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under34c649.79$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.783,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c600$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31232648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008752.9%46 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Over48c546.08$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.969547.4%45 W · 50 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Under53c473.77$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.11323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.0wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-67%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under53c438.16$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.182751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda75…bbf9backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20020655.3%114 W · 92 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under52c399.96$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9814853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over51c387.66$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.951,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eec…89babacked Under53c383.54$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.24425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Over49c376.72$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1611154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Over48c375$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1951643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over68c329.59$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0712152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15676450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Over48c296$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9218344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under53c283.02$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under53c270.77$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.513053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under53c261.18$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.353145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over67c255.99$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7589355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe77b…f10abacked Over48c249.11$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.546960.9%42 W · 27 L+6.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Under52c232.4$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.851040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Under53c212$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.2910858.3%63 W · 45 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8164…7564backed Under49c205.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.65520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Over46c203.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.912536%45 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10635349.6%175 W · 178 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over49c193.53$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.77857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x816c…deefbacked Under50c188$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5220%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14d0…fa03backed Over52c186.74$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3f5…2f1bbacked Over52c186.32$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Under53c183.85$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4411350.4%57 W · 56 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6824…9721backed Over52c179.64$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+55.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under52c178.05$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.576647%31 W · 35 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96a8…e998backed Under49c174.31$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.41540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29dc…24e6backed Under49c171.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.18540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4380…7d8dbacked Over51c170$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Under53c168.28$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.932240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under53c161.89$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6728549.1%140 W · 145 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2081…daffbacked Under49c160.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.67650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8a7f…986dbacked Over52c159.37$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c155.14$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.382,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9135…a63ebacked Over48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over49c149.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0719651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over48c148$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.9625337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Under53c141.69$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.081741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.