NHL · resolved market
Spread: Flyers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb2fabfc03f97036549624d824132ebebdd2798a64f2421ab723cefb999c3d6b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Flyers, Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,817 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Flyers | 35c | 2,855$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.38 | 210 | 36.2%76 W · 134 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Rangers | 65c | 2,802$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.86 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Flyers | 32c | 1,015$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.71 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rangers | 66c | 611.65$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.96 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Flyers | 34c | 543.94$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Flyers | 35c | 450$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.65 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Rangers | 65c | 385.99$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1554…3ad1backed Flyers | 34c | 355$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144a…0328backed Flyers | 34c | 351$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…592fbacked Flyers | 34c | 308$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…5d0bbacked Rangers | 66c | 289$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…e368backed Rangers | 66c | 279$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2b…fac8backed Rangers | 66c | 275$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Rangers | 68c | 272.43$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…8847backed Rangers | 66c | 266$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…ec37backed Rangers | 66c | 254$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Rangers | 68c | 245.63$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Rangers | 67c | 242.37$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…4cfdbacked Flyers | 34c | 242$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Flyers | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 125 | 36%45 W · 80 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Flyers | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3125…6f2dbacked Rangers | 66c | 190$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a1…131abacked Flyers | 34c | 190$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bee…e475backed Flyers | 34c | 181$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…b2c3backed Rangers | 66c | 177$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…ce9ebacked Flyers | 34c | 175$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0028…e71ebacked Rangers | 66c | 172$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2e…95acbacked Rangers | 66c | 163$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef33…bc2bbacked Flyers | 34c | 159$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Rangers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Rangers | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Rangers | 67c | 121$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Rangers | 67c | 118.63$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Rangers | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…5882backed Flyers | 34c | 104$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Rangers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Rangers | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Flyers | 25c | 95.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Flyers | 35c | 81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Flyers | 33c | 77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Rangers | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Rangers | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Flyers | 33c | 73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd73…3cc4backed Flyers | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Flyers | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Rangers | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Flyers | 33c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Flyers | 33c | 36.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Rangers | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Rangers | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9856…7014backed Rangers | 68c | 25.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Rangers | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Rangers | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Rangers | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Rangers | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Rangers | 74c | 23.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Rangers | 67c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Rangers | 67c | 20.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Rangers | 66c | 15.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. FlyersRangers won
- Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Flyers: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.