TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kings vs. Bruins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bruinsof Kings, Bruins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$647,873

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $647,873 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Bruins59c293,466$173,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120,456.5967051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Kings41c250,000$102,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102,602.3119848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Bruins60c75,000$45,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,000.3848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Kings40c57,965$23,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,186.151,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Kings41c50,876$20,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,858.8426849.6%133 W · 135 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Bruins56c35,690$19,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,727.5112835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Kings41c23,597$9,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,688.2161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Kings41c19,513$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,000.1440356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings44c12,458$5,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,451.671,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Bruins60c12,118$7,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,893.3461748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Kings41c12,051$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,890.511,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kings41c10,286$4,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,174.391,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Kings41c8,195$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.8727448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kings40c8,111$3,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.3851550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5998…4304backed Kings41c6,900$2,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,828.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kings45c6,235$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,797.3789355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Kings44c5,699$2,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,527.3989636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kings43c5,308$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.713,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Kings40c4,413$1,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,765.172,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Bruins59c4,238$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,737.878748.3%42 W · 45 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…b5debacked Bruins59c3,300$1,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Kings41c3,065$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.6512047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb3…5ceabacked Kings41c3,006$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.09850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…b9c4backed Bruins59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Kings41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.9730552.5%160 W · 145 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bruins67c2,644$1,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.7139344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Bruins59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0251,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bruins59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02584953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Kings43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.974450%22 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Kings41c2,466$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0115855.2%32 W · 26 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kings38c2,441$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.6260337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings41c2,348$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.461,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings40c2,222$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.7991945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kings44c2,152$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.0351045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e13…d6d0backed Kings47c2,116$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings40c2,036$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.4232946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings41c1,935$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$793.3479350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kings40c1,500$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60062346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Kings41c1,438$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.261953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Kings47c1,395$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65014047.9%67 W · 73 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ce…a992backed Kings31c1,276$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012328.5%35 W · 88 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Kings41c1,253$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.5411855.9%66 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Bruins61c1,251$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.1643456%243 W · 191 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kings41c1,236$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.5799638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Bruins70c1,233$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.471,20260.1%722 W · 480 L+51.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Kings41c1,221$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.2742847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed Kings41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014940.9%61 W · 88 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8bf…019fbacked Kings41c1,200$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bruins51c1,121$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.9743742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kings43c1,090$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.12,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Kings46c1,061$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.91,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Bruins60c1,027$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.144259.5%25 W · 17 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kings42c1,018$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.12,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings41c1,010$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41462249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Bruins59c1,001$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.5629551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed Bruins56c1,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4404637%17 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Bruins60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.3889249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Bruins59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4107354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe278…b608backed Bruins59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4109157.1%52 W · 39 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Bruins59c1,000$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4115253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Kings42c1,000$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41924845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Bruins54c998.06$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0614837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Kings41c982.15$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.6810840.7%44 W · 64 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Kings40c968.33$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.332,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9808…549fbacked Bruins59c900$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1762…c83ebacked Kings18c855.19$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.04742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Bruins59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.463351.5%17 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Kings40c840.96$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.8586549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Bruins60c840$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.3822352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a17…1b84backed Bruins60c833.5$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.53756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Kings38c826$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4342254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Bruins59c812.15$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.168449.9%341 W · 343 L-3.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Bruins59c734$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.4586852.4%455 W · 413 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bruins59c733$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.5736648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Kings40c679.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27233243.7%145 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Kings39c671.25$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.791,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa52f…8897backed Kings45c669.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Bruins60c667.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.347256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a87…1a2ebacked Bruins59c655$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.691662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Kings41c609.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bruins59c604$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3734538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49a5…b220backed Kings41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2465952.5%31 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8667…743cbacked Bruins59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Kings41c600$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.6225552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Kings42c590$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.816955.6%94 W · 75 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Bruins58c583$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.599442.6%40 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Kings41c579.44$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.5424952.2%130 W · 119 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Bruins60c530$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.318060%48 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Bruins58c521$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0416447%77 W · 87 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Kings43c515.68$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4695049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4112…5d9dbacked Bruins58c515.16$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.8515651.3%80 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb146…e717backed Bruins60c500.03$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.031070%7 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Bruins58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d6…926ebacked Kings42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103625%9 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8803…cd6ebacked Kings42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.858145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94c…cfe1backed Bruins59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.138453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Kings40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9970547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Kings41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8776450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Kings40c498.63$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.4528847.2%136 W · 152 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Bruins60c498.33$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.3314151.8%73 W · 68 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.