NHL · resolved market
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x202c9488223b256deb031c944f11d659854ebbeb54ff9c312aa3a2c93d5cef69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Bruins, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,634 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bruins | 37c | 3,986$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.12 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Bruins | 38c | 2,787$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.35 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Kings | 63c | 2,222$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.14 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kings | 62c | 1,153$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.14 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kings | 62c | 1,109$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.42 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Kings | 62c | 999.99$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Kings | 63c | 364.46$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kings | 73c | 290.75$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Kings | 62c | 265.79$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Bruins | 21c | 237.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Kings | 62c | 158.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Kings | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Bruins | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bruins | 35c | 143.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 381 | 47.2%180 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…8a3bbacked Bruins | 40c | 138.75$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kings | 65c | 122.69$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Kings | 66c | 121.37$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Kings | 66c | 106.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Kings | 66c | 103.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Kings | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kings | 79c | 97.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Kings | 66c | 77.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Kings | 60c | 67.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Kings | 66c | 60.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Bruins | 37c | 54.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Kings | 65c | 54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kings | 69c | 53.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5467…ffffbacked Bruins | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bruins | 35c | 42.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kings | 65c | 32.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Bruins | 37c | 30.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Kings | 65c | 24.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Kings | 65c | 18.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bruins (-1.5)this page
- Kings vs. BruinsBruins won
- Kings vs. Bruins: O/U 4.5Under won
- Kings vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kings vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.