NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6802fbb3c4414f183aaaa53aac9fc8c4e7c847ff42f49df4ed1b7d83f528b2f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sharks, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,549 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Sabres | 65c | 174,093$113,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,936.4 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Sharks | 35c | 100,000$35,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,999.71 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sabres | 66c | 71,896$47,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,444.61 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Sharks | 35c | 36,386$12,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,734.53 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sharks | 34c | 35,000$11,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,900 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sharks | 35c | 34,741$12,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,327.48 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Sharks | 35c | 20,375$7,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,131.31 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Sabres | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.99 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Sharks | 34c | 18,282$6,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sharks | 34c | 13,524$4,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,598.15 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks | 10c | 10,845$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Sharks | 35c | 7,657$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Sabres | 66c | 6,061$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.18 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Sabres | 65c | 6,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 34c | 5,607$1,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Sharks | 20c | 5,346$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.79 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked Sabres | 66c | 4,726$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,607.32 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sharks | 35c | 4,650$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.6 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Sabres | 64c | 4,496$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.4 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 64c | 4,433$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.03 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Sharks | 35c | 4,100$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Sharks | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.98 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Sharks | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.95 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 64c | 3,405$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.91 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Sharks | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Sharks | 35c | 2,900$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.98 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Sharks | 35c | 2,766$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.56 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Sabres | 80c | 2,722$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.92 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Sabres | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Sabres | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Sabres | 66c | 2,343$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.21 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb3…5ceabacked Sabres | 65c | 1,795$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sabres | 65c | 1,793$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.52 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Sharks | 35c | 1,653$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.38 | 457 | 49.2%225 W · 232 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sharks | 36c | 1,593$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.88 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Sharks | 35c | 1,528$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.69 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Sabres | 74c | 1,473$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.38 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Sharks | 35c | 1,460$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.98 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Sharks | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Sharks | 3c | 1,338$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Sharks | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.92 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Sharks | 35c | 1,142$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.55 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sharks | 34c | 1,111$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.73 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sharks | 24c | 1,099$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.49 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a17…1b84backed Sabres | 66c | 1,061$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.18 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sharks | 34c | 1,038$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Sharks | 34c | 1,017$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Sharks | 35c | 1,000$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Sharks | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5623…6930backed Sharks | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Sabres | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Sabres | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Sabres | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks | 36c | 1,000$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.25 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sharks | 34c | 896.75$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.42 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Sharks | 34c | 888.57$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.04 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sharks | 34c | 853.69$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Sharks | 35c | 811.63$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.62 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Sabres | 65c | 810.74$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.96 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Sabres | 65c | 769.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.36 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked Sabres | 66c | 763.49$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Sabres | 65c | 733.21$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.35 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Sharks | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 2c | 693.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Sharks | 8c | 676.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Sharks | 27c | 666$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Sabres | 68c | 646$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Sharks | 31c | 635.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sabres | 75c | 621.79$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Sabres | 65c | 615.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.52 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Sabres | 66c | 606.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Sabres | 66c | 606.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.54 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 65c | 599$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…107fbacked Sharks | 36c | 557.75$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Sharks | 35c | 539.39$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 535 | 46.4%248 W · 287 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Sharks | 34c | 510.59$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.6 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Sharks | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Sabres | 64c | 483.6$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.1 | 459 | 55.1%253 W · 206 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de3…0bdbbacked Sharks | 4c | 455.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…5afdbacked Sabres | 66c | 454.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 150 | 53.3%80 W · 70 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Sharks | 35c | 420.16$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Sharks | 35c | 404$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…fcf3backed Sabres | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 385 | 55.6%214 W · 171 L | +24.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Sharks | 35c | 399.09$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Sabres | 66c | 379.36$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 369 | 48%177 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Sabres | 71c | 361.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked Sharks | 34c | 357.53$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.56 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Sharks | 14c | 328.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 358 | 29.3%105 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…4f77backed Sharks | 36c | 327.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 386 | 45.1%174 W · 212 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 75c | 312.76$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.19 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…9dc1backed Sabres | 65c | 307.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.76 | 250 | 52.8%132 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Sabres | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…9da5backed Sharks | 9c | 307.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Sabres | 66c | 304$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.42 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Sabres | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Sabres | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Sharks | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Sharks | 36c | 297.18$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.5 | 529 | 46.9%248 W · 281 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Sharks | 35c | 287.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.29 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Sabresthis page
- Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.