NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9617c30ce3d8d4f75e424e92aa087ff58b3b017aef40339375f943f3ee0a1515
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,074 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 54c | 12,687$6,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,836.17 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 46c | 11,639$5,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,353 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 6,211$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.71 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 46c | 3,815$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,765.55 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Under | 49c | 3,762$1,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.87 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 51c | 2,091$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.44 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 46c | 2,030$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.45 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 47c | 2,016$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.19 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 1,932$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.55 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 46c | 1,602$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.94 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 54c | 1,214$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.65 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Under | 47c | 1,163$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,057$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.61 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 1,056$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.9 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Under | 47c | 985.58$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 54c | 796.72$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.72 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 46c | 795$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.04 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 55c | 727.8$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.8 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Under | 48c | 641.67$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c4…f4cbbacked Under | 47c | 478.72$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 433.13$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 54c | 370.81$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.81 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 54c | 362.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 361.73$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 46c | 310$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.6 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 55c | 273.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Over | 54c | 249.56$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.74 | 156 | 51.3%80 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 68c | 244.13$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.67 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 46c | 226.58$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 54c | 200.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 178.06$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.73 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 46c | 155$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 145.75$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.56 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd3…394cbacked Under | 48c | 125.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 55c | 124.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 55c | 115.33$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…b99dbacked Over | 55c | 103.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.77 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Under | 47c | 100.78$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 55c | 95.05$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 31c | 91.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Over | 55c | 89.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Over | 55c | 73.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Over | 51c | 63.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.34 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 60.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 54c | 59.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 57$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Over | 55c | 54.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed Under | 26c | 53.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 55c | 41.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…bc76backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 57c | 39.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 47c | 36.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 55c | 31.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 47c | 31.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…1968backed Over | 55c | 31.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46a…baf8backed Under | 47c | 30.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Over | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Under | 48c | 29.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 55c | 28.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 71c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 62c | 26.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 72c | 26.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Over | 55c | 21.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 55c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5this page
- Sharks vs. SabresSabres won
- Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Sharks vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Sabres won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.