MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2ac2e40c02a2e214cdfa658ad69bc717c1d527323a6a334fbc44bfbf2f1971e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Red Sox, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,504
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Brewers | 40c | 23,456$9,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,073.58 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Red Sox | 60c | 20,014$12,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,008.67 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Red Sox | 60c | 19,863$11,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,917.8 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Brewers | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 18c | 8,138$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.13 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Red Sox | 60c | 6,488$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.36 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Brewers | 72c | 4,574$3,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.33 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Red Sox | 27c | 4,477$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.03 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 48c | 3,672$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Red Sox | 36c | 3,018$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91b…d0acbacked Brewers | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Brewers | 41c | 2,450$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.44 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Brewers | 41c | 2,345$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.85 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Red Sox | 10c | 2,162$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Red Sox | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9c…d685backed Brewers | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaae…8a95backed Brewers | 41c | 1,994$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.46 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked Brewers | 72c | 1,907$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Brewers | 53c | 1,731$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.36 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa342…222fbacked Red Sox | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 40c | 1,520$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Brewers | 52c | 1,483$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.27 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…c3c2backed Red Sox | 59c | 1,257$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…2c86backed Red Sox | 59c | 1,149$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 40c | 1,131$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.96 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Brewers | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 13c | 999.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…7bc7backed Red Sox | 59c | 900$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Red Sox | 60c | 867.69$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.61 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Red Sox | 8c | 864$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc221…a9eebacked Red Sox | 59c | 851$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.09 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 60c | 654.49$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.25 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Brewers | 40c | 653.62$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.41 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Brewers | 40c | 621$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.6 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Brewers | 72c | 598.78$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.77 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Brewers | 57c | 570.3$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Red Sox | 45c | 556.87$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Red Sox | 16c | 552.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 33c | 517.62$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Red Sox | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Red Sox | 25c | 367.76$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Red Sox | 31c | 357.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b02…393ebacked Red Sox | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Red Sox | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Red Sox | 16c | 319.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4006…c5cebacked Red Sox | 26c | 313.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Red Sox | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Red Sox | 25c | 275.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.69 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Red Sox | 59c | 240.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Brewers | 40c | 239.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Red Sox | 43c | 233.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Red Sox | 47c | 212.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb58d…818ebacked Red Sox | 10c | 201.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Brewers | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Brewers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca2…55e4backed Brewers | 41c | 199.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Brewers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Red Sox | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Red Sox | 61c | 153.7$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers | 71c | 151.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Red Sox | 39c | 140.6$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Brewers | 40c | 123.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Brewers | 42c | 115.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.97 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Red Sox | 16c | 115$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceba…b645backed Brewers | 41c | 114.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Brewers | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Red Sox | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Red Sox | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…e1b0backed Brewers | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 31c | 96.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…ccb1backed Red Sox | 33c | 95.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…9cadbacked Brewers | 40c | 90.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…6ac8backed Brewers | 41c | 90.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02a…67a7backed Red Sox | 60c | 90.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Brewers | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…30b9backed Red Sox | 60c | 89.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…19c1backed Brewers | 40c | 88.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Brewers | 41c | 87.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb432…e207backed Red Sox | 61c | 86.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342f…e786backed Brewers | 41c | 85.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…869fbacked Red Sox | 61c | 84.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…0d51backed Red Sox | 60c | 83.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…117bbacked Red Sox | 60c | 83.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bb…9860backed Red Sox | 61c | 82.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e0…ba5bbacked Brewers | 41c | 81.73$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c8…6533backed Red Sox | 61c | 78.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Red Sox | 46c | 75.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ce…f415backed Brewers | 40c | 75.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Red Sox | 61c | 70$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 280 | 53.9%151 W · 129 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Red Sox | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Brewers | 40c | 65.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Red Sox | 59c | 61.9$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 146 | 54.8%80 W · 66 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563f…786ebacked Brewers | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Brewers | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.