TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,505,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,646,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,505,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6fdb…7ea3backed Yes58c415,089$242,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172,736.721952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes59c339,531$199,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140,093.1214544.8%65 W · 80 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed No42c272,910$114,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114,060.7810357.3%59 W · 44 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bf…647ebacked No42c221,026$92,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,760.594153.7%22 W · 19 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0764…e01fbacked No41c195,081$79,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,964.551643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No41c158,149$64,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,143.932142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0b…4908backed Yes59c111,610$65,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,760.04933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No42c40,000$16,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,60017958.1%104 W · 75 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No41c39,572$16,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,224.4813829%40 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No42c37,464$15,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,784.313050%15 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No41c30,327$12,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,540.730851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x843d…e617backed No42c26,334$11,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,046.62853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed No41c21,047$8,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,572.026860.3%41 W · 27 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed No46c19,413$8,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,929.941729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa362…f906backed No43c19,292$8,223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,222.892857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1918…e45cbacked Yes59c18,642$10,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,643.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Yes59c17,783$10,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,290.987028.6%20 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No44c17,627$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,68810236.3%37 W · 65 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No42c16,057$6,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,770.4620140.8%82 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No43c15,000$6,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,449.9121154.5%115 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No34c12,112$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,126.047248.6%35 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No43c11,000$4,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,68022744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Yes59c10,169$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.499636.5%35 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes57c10,000$5,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2859646.9%45 W · 51 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed No48c9,178$4,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,417.515056%28 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75a1…693fbacked Yes59c8,645$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.311758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No41c8,526$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.8679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked No43c7,030$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.92941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes56c5,500$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes58c5,247$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,203.732653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92c3…f584backed Yes59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.85714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-75.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Yes48c4,582$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,388.72245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No42c4,582$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.724566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked No41c3,805$1,571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,570.66450%32 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c3,762$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,614.3331944.5%142 W · 177 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Yes59c3,594$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.544766%31 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes59c3,422$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.024042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2b…411bbacked Yes58c3,215$1,865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32032158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3751…7dfdbacked Yes59c3,000$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,230450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.9717833.7%60 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes79c2,833$2,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.914447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes58c2,800$1,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1761100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No41c2,600$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes57c1,980$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.48842%37 W · 51 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes61c1,923$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.3569772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No6c1,900$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10556453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No58c1,875$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.536954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x2cc7…5536backed Yes57c1,835$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.051323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-60.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed No41c1,800$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73219735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1208…1feabacked Yes58c1,800$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7545160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3914544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Yes58c1,727$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.522347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…63cdbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.18425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.923161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes38c1,531$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.8437840.5%153 W · 225 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes48c1,465$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.832548%12 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No6c1,463$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.786334.9%22 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6ea5backed Yes57c1,400$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed No40c1,400$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5603652.8%19 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+269.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No43c1,344$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.924035%14 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No42c1,209$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.469849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe435…0bb1backed Yes57c1,209$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.82560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+46.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Yes59c1,186$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.444841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb153…d8b5backed No42c1,167$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4901637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x823d…8091backed Yes60c1,122$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.792236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No41c1,104$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.6349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Yes73c1,080$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.953076.7%23 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No41c1,070$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.7727454%148 W · 126 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41b0…529bbacked Yes58c1,065$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.372853.6%15 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…b560backed Yes61c1,024$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.585451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c1,012$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.944,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41044939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41014854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe31a…adffbacked Yes57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4306051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cd3…212bbacked Yes59c963.28$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x736f…d0c5backed Yes58c962.07$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.072462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Yes49c900$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45814945%67 W · 82 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes59c866.97$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.4614156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes49c856.51$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes59c846$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.867963.3%50 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes48c803.47$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.226741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes58c794.48$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.4812753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…6e98backed No43c794$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.32860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No44c775$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34124047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes58c750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3159858.2%57 W · 41 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6611855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No38c659.47$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7611125.2%28 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65a6…3e59backed Yes58c646.38$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.4816953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Yes59c594.92$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.927835.9%28 W · 50 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8e…fdf6backed Yes59c579.93$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed No41c500$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.337139.4%28 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No44c500$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2187335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b0e…d596backed Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed No5c499.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534251.8%177 W · 165 L+21.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed No43c484.93$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No44c468.18$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2067448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes57c456.14$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.147844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked No44c450$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19830050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked No43c449.37$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.231457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.