Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08853a5a5195ec3b86c4f06aa5d28f300aa8aee62461aaec8ac3f702148ad37d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 18c | 7,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 19c | 6,929$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.42 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 6c | 6,505$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 71c | 4,459$3,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.33 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 26c | 4,323$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.89 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d5…8a19backed Yes | 5c | 3,975$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 18c | 3,707$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.83 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Yes | 17c | 3,045$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.92 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,979$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.13 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 27c | 2,752$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.18 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Yes | 12c | 2,484$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Yes | 30c | 2,078$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.18 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Yes | 18c | 2,026$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.75 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 17c | 1,874$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.66 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 19c | 1,518$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.46 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed No | 74c | 1,500$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked No | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 42c | 1,134$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 58c | 1,106$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.52 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Yes | 21c | 1,019$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 10c | 887.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa89…e99fbacked Yes | 18c | 833.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…aa2dbacked Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked Yes | 3c | 778.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 23c | 694.63$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.84 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 19c | 629.68$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.64 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 17c | 567.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 19c | 488.74$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 42c | 481.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 18c | 467.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.2 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 34c | 415.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.31 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…33b3backed Yes | 4c | 411.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…ef29backed Yes | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 23c | 394.72$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 79c | 368.72$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 21c | 305.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…50afbacked Yes | 18c | 270.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 18c | 266.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 18c | 199.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Yes | 18c | 194.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 10c | 160.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Yes | 19c | 121.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc6…fecfbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3185…937abacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x996f…3748backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebc…a799backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab8…83a6backed Yes | 19c | 97.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3443…1532backed Yes | 33c | 97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a5…38c6backed Yes | 33c | 85.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed No | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 74c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Yes | 18c | 64.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f87…7fddbacked Yes | 19c | 63.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked No | 79c | 58.18$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fa…5ed9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed No | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Yes | 40c | 40.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f0…b179backed Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?Yes won
- Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.