Premier League · resolved market
Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf7354c16a0e9996164d33308869939cb604041ae3b10a8737be07b3e9e31b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 25c | 21,400$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 75c | 8,527$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,131.62 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 6,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Yes | 17c | 5,578$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.61 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 75c | 5,084$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.01 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 25c | 5,000$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.31 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…6d50backed No | 76c | 5,000$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 7c | 4,003$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.19 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…adf4backed Yes | 24c | 3,336$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.64 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 75c | 2,600$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 75c | 2,240$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 33c | 1,853$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd246…1c41backed Yes | 24c | 1,670$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,465$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.25 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 75c | 1,419$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.54 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 75c | 1,130$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.91 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 75c | 1,056$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 23c | 607$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 178 | 33.7%60 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed No | 76c | 504.86$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 23c | 463$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 99 | 17.2%17 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed No | 77c | 463$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…ef29backed Yes | 24c | 410$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…1747backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 23c | 337.62$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 24c | 330$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 25c | 232.17$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…95c4backed Yes | 25c | 230$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 76c | 213$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 147 | 54.4%80 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…710fbacked Yes | 11c | 209.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 24c | 193.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 76c | 176$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 80c | 172.06$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 76c | 168.28$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.39 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 137$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed No | 76c | 124.62$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344d…1278backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28f8…cd9abacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 24c | 88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 74c | 86.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Yes | 25c | 80.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 25c | 66.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3124…014bbacked No | 76c | 41.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…5ae5backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39e…5182backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…17c8backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will West Ham vs. Chelsea end in a draw?this page
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?Yes won
- Will West Ham win on 2025-08-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.