NBA · resolved market
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffbd4be42e53ee41f6515f4623df87f393f25cba62188a65957a18a891a6b00a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Warriors, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $344,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $353,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $344,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8dbf…53bebacked Warriors | 48c | 223,940$107,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,397.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Clippers | 52c | 190,120$98,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,257.37 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Warriors | 47c | 40,000$18,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,849.99 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers | 52c | 20,297$10,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,736.44 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Clippers | 53c | 16,620$8,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,811.23 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors | 45c | 13,401$6,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,030.4 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaccb…61dcbacked Clippers | 53c | 12,734$6,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,984.92 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Clippers | 53c | 8,999$4,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Clippers | 53c | 6,396$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.12 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors | 49c | 5,060$2,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,458.09 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Clippers | 40c | 4,787$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.76 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Warriors | 47c | 4,060$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.27 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Clippers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Clippers | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Clippers | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Warriors | 46c | 3,043$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Clippers | 54c | 2,771$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.61 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Warriors | 49c | 2,458$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Warriors | 73c | 2,452$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.62 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers | 55c | 2,179$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Warriors | 46c | 1,978$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.13 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Clippers | 54c | 1,919$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.52 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers | 54c | 1,669$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.93 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers | 51c | 1,565$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.26 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Clippers | 53c | 1,564$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.08 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers | 30c | 1,536$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.38 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c21…9b8abacked Clippers | 54c | 1,504$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Warriors | 69c | 1,441$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.2 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Clippers | 54c | 1,386$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.56 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Clippers | 54c | 1,384$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.64 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Clippers | 54c | 1,375$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Warriors | 69c | 1,342$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.88 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Clippers | 55c | 1,335$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.55 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Warriors | 46c | 1,289$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.74 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Clippers | 54c | 1,289$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.74 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Clippers | 54c | 1,108$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.92 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Clippers | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.05 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…2bb7backed Clippers | 53c | 962.26$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.26 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Clippers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Clippers | 52c | 892$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers | 34c | 839.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.69 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c0…49bfbacked Clippers | 32c | 795.41$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.88 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers | 53c | 751.11$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Warriors | 45c | 746.82$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.54 | 522 | 42.7%223 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Warriors | 45c | 654.94$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.56 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Warriors | 53c | 610$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.1 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Clippers | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Warriors | 66c | 543.9$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.49 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Clippers | 43c | 511.59$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.17 | 138 | 35.5%49 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Warriors | 32c | 485$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.2 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…b839backed Clippers | 56c | 440$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0307…7ab8backed Clippers | 29c | 438.87$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.45 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa583…2928backed Warriors | 35c | 434.78$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Warriors | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Clippers | 55c | 417.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.74 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Clippers | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Clippers | 54c | 399.97$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.98 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9325…adafbacked Clippers | 56c | 360.96$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.82 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Clippers | 55c | 345.45$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -16.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e36…6ce1backed Clippers | 55c | 325.45$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.45 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Clippers | 55c | 323.64$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.64 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Warriors | 71c | 304.51$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…7a80backed Clippers | 52c | 301.32$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Clippers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Clippers | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Clippers | 48c | 262.68$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.53 | 335 | 54.6%183 W · 152 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Clippers | 55c | 258$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Warriors | 65c | 240$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.6 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Clippers | 35c | 239.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.98 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed Clippers | 55c | 229.27$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 190 | 45.8%87 W · 103 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Warriors | 46c | 228.35$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd870…9b36backed Clippers | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Warriors | 7c | 225.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4856backed Clippers | 54c | 223$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 241 | 51%123 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Warriors | 46c | 217.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Warriors | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 227 | 46.3%105 W · 122 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Clippers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Clippers | 55c | 181.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…5b92backed Warriors | 57c | 175.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Warriors | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Warriors | 70c | 159.11$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Warriors | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…25dcbacked Clippers | 55c | 142$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed Warriors | 46c | 140$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Warriors | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 543 | 51.6%280 W · 263 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Clippers | 55c | 129$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Clippers | 45c | 124.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.16 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Warriors | 44c | 123.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…124dbacked Warriors | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers | 53c | 118.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.57 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Clippers | 29c | 118.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | +9.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…2428backed Clippers | 57c | 117.54$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.54 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors | 46c | 113.26$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 362 | 47.5%172 W · 190 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 383 | 50.4%193 W · 190 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Warriors | 47c | 107.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Warriors | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 233 | 49.4%115 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Warriors | 65c | 104.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.5 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Warriors | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72f…2806backed Warriors | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Warriors (-1.5)this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Brandin Podziemski: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Brandin Podziemski: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Clippers vs. WarriorsClippers won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H MoneylineWarriors won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: 1H O/U 105.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 215.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5Under won
- Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 219.5Under won
- John Collins: Points O/U 13.5No won
- John Collins: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Kawhi Leonard: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Clippers (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.