TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Clippers, Warriors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$125,116
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,116 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Warriors56c29,206$16,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,355.621,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Clippers44c20,000$8,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,199.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Warriors54c15,174$8,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,193.9987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Warriors54c10,530$5,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,691.571,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Clippers46c10,353$4,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,590.6248352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Clippers44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,60038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Warriors55c9,800$5,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3904654.3%25 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff3…1aa9backed Warriors55c9,235$5,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,079.2519645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Clippers46c6,263$2,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,381.9424744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Clippers46c5,699$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,089.451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Warriors54c5,490$2,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,964.861,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors56c4,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Clippers45c3,737$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.819,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Clippers44c3,560$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Clippers46c3,261$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,760.8724151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers50c3,205$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,613.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5351…9b3cbacked Clippers45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.9920355.2%112 W · 91 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Warriors55c2,837$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.654,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0865…3dffbacked Clippers45c2,480$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.213751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Warriors17c2,381$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.531,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Warriors54c1,768$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.851,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Warriors70c1,648$1,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.362,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Warriors53c1,274$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.852,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers44c1,100$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.753,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Clippers46c1,090$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.620846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Clippers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Clippers45c1,000$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5471,47551.3%756 W · 719 L+35.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8df3…0fb5backed Clippers46c1,000$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5408057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Clippers73c929.14$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.4246346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Warriors56c892.86$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50090957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Warriors12c840.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7640243.8%176 W · 226 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Clippers46c815.22$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.2223850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Clippers45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44049142.6%209 W · 282 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Clippers47c727.25$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.691,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Clippers46c706.52$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Clippers45c701$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.5517744.1%78 W · 99 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Warriors54c599.98$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.9949345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Clippers45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.561330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Clippers28c538.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.23,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Warriors54c533.33$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28847651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Clippers57c500.99$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Warriors53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26522846.1%105 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Clippers24c479$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.22425%6 W · 18 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-42.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Clippers47c472.34$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3420552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Clippers46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.7819045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Clippers46c426.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.5862744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Clippers46c425.99$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0317644.9%79 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Warriors55c421.55$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.313835.5%49 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86d9…b214backed Clippers45c386.77$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6121854.6%119 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Warriors54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Warriors56c359.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024946.6%116 W · 133 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1452…3c00backed Clippers45c355$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.254447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers45c282.52$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.73,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Clippers47c282.27$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Clippers33c281.74$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7545452%236 W · 218 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Warriors56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029646.6%138 W · 158 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Warriors55c267.85$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.3276552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…0272backed Clippers46c250$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13518233%60 W · 122 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-20.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Warriors56c242.86$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13619548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4147…902abacked Clippers46c236.96$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.9617342.8%74 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Warriors43c233.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…9f0abacked Clippers45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.22955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x557d…4ffebacked Clippers44c220$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.83548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Clippers46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3940541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50ab…70a2backed Clippers48c213.88$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.224843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Clippers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7711051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Clippers50c211.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.49958.6%58 W · 41 L+9.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Clippers46c207.04$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.821748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Warriors55c202.76$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5291148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Warriors54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10861957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Warriors50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013837%51 W · 87 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Warriors53c198.82$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.422,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Clippers45c190.24$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.531,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Warriors51c189.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30fb…4856backed Clippers45c186.58$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.6224151%123 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Clippers46c186$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4443052.3%225 W · 205 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Warriors54c183.74$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Clippers46c182.6$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.64746.8%22 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Warriors60c166.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019756.3%111 W · 86 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07a0…7a80backed Warriors37c162.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602763%17 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaccb…61dcbacked Clippers45c135.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.793171%22 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35b8…898abacked Clippers47c127.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.668754%47 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Warriors79c112.5$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.23,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fbb…727fbacked Clippers46c108.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7914448.6%70 W · 74 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3502…7057backed Clippers46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.718256.6%103 W · 79 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Clippers46c108.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6462541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Warriors56c106.39$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5822048.6%107 W · 113 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Clippers47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3833360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Warriors54c106$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.322746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Warriors55c102.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9436247.5%172 W · 190 L-0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Warriors52c102.47$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.281,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Warriors56c101.61$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.911045.5%50 W · 60 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc09…3079backed Clippers45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556839.7%27 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a50…09f4backed Warriors50c92.93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.527152.1%37 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcc…031ebacked Warriors55c89.29$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1123349.4%115 W · 118 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Warriors56c87.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1738350.4%193 W · 190 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Clippers34c80.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7365542.9%281 W · 374 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Warriors53c79.61$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.196,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Warriors55c77.87$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8317650%88 W · 88 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd81…b603backed Clippers46c76.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.09540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.