Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego State Aztecs vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x849c1eabfcedf0e5a9169c8a4d551ca1a40c3281c592ef073faabd6ca0d545fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego State Aztecsof San Diego State Aztecs, UNLV Runnin' Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 21c | 12,668$2,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 54c | 5,545$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,544.74 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 4,187$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.28 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego State Aztecs | 73c | 3,866$2,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 2,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 2,363$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.95 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 69c | 2,239$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.89 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 73c | 2,180$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.74 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 4c | 2,010$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 1,930$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.88 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 1,593$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.65 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 1,578$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.22 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 1,393$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego State Aztecs | 76c | 1,205$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.61 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 1,202$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.68 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 31c | 817.6$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.42 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 29c | 721$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.77 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 29c | 716.81$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.9 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 33c | 604.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 17c | 583.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.77 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 29c | 507.2$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.62 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 434.37$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 19c | 353.24$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 300.63$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.21 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 30c | 257$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.49 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 18c | 249.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 25c | 242$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 13c | 203.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 26c | 202.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 200.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…1ae2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 8c | 196.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 17c | 157.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…3053backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 20c | 146.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed San Diego State Aztecs | 77c | 131.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 72c | 122.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed San Diego State Aztecs | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed San Diego State Aztecs | 68c | 119.56$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 70c | 108$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed San Diego State Aztecs | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 33c | 97.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 83.66$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 36c | 83.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed San Diego State Aztecs | 62c | 72.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed San Diego State Aztecs | 75c | 67.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.09 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 65.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…a54abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 64.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 58.76$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 36c | 58.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 55.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 51.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…4d9fbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 36c | 43.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 43.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 33c | 37.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 37c | 32.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed San Diego State Aztecs | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 52c | 21.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed San Diego State Aztecs | 78c | 19.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 67c | 17.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…7560backed San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc59…fca8backed San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…9a53backed San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 16.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe10d…3590backed San Diego State Aztecs | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…39d7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 73c | 13.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsthis page
- San Diego State Aztecs vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebels: O/U 148.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.