TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No19c8,310$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.35,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No17c5,345$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.411,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes46c5,116$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,754.21,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed No58c2,992$1,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,735.577441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c2,421$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.918,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Yes61c1,601$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.78447.6%40 W · 44 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes38c1,424$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.0630841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No59c1,400$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.251,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c922.98$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.673,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes43c914.39$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.294141.5%17 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No58c846.32$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.285651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…28f9backed Yes42c804.33$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.51683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick47cpaid+72.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No39c749.31$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.051,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes40c723$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.813257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Yes32c716.79$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+55.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes41c590.65$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.536944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b14…5301backed No14c564.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.564415.9%7 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef88…29a3backed No35c543.54$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.244676.1%35 W · 11 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbebe…72e1backed Yes76c499.96$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+92.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff67…a1c9backed Yes44c451.23$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.275648.2%27 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes55c394.38$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.6523254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05d8…31cfbacked No53c372.54$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.45785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+38%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c342.59$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.051,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2718…780bbacked Yes44c318.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf91f…a82bbacked Yes33c305.97$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Yes39c300.74$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.753881.6%31 W · 7 L+10.2wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+44.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1ad6…caadbacked Yes34c279.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.754669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes65c257.88$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.53762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No46c232.72$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8927133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed No10c221.08$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.382330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick23cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes43c217.87$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.184643.5%20 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c209.8$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.082,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes47c201.7$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.456955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes40c199.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9921837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes44c197.67$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.73844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes62c195.44$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.274944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes56c193.93$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.981,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No60c186.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7221345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No56c174.76$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.879956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed No58c173$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.343943.6%17 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a2…f005backed Yes60c162.52$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes47c160.12$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8614570.3%102 W · 43 L+22.6wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+26.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xac3c…a1f7backed Yes62c157.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes61c153.69$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.943151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Yes48c149.72$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1021…1106backed Yes39c147.17$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea3…c9f4backed No39c145.1$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89dc…8f42backed No61c136.91$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.515962.7%37 W · 22 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No59c136$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1716255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No58c126.72$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.551654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes70c125.54$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8913373.7%98 W · 35 L+22.2wins+0.17per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x0c82…7312backed No41c122.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x713d…ba88backed Yes62c118.54$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.05250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.58149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b9…3efebacked Yes44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes55c107.33$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4721251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes37c103.46$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1417542.3%74 W · 101 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed Yes49c101.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.75062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c100.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.661,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…ade9backed Yes38c97.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.67540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1471…679dbacked Yes43c96.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.051070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed No60c92.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.536558.5%38 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e4c…5c55backed No16c87.14$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71060%6 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No33c86.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No57c85.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7110750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No47c83.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4415143%65 W · 86 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No57c82.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.441,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c81.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.381,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.955444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Yes69c78.23$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.254740.4%19 W · 28 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No48c77.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.631,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc55a…7281backed Yes39c74.31$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No56c73.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.282,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849b…a5fdbacked Yes62c73.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.85742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3c…5727backed Yes41c70.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Yes41c70.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5524253.3%129 W · 113 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Yes41c70.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.554748.9%23 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No52c70.23$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.521,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No35c70.14$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4532936.5%120 W · 209 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes42c70.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6520142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes42c69.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7984943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes66c68.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.649657.3%55 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes42c67.12$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.931,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked No57c58.45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.325949.2%29 W · 30 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No51c58.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3918446.2%85 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No60c57.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.391,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No59c56.57$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.383836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes41c53.05$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.310033%33 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a05…8573backed Yes46c52.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.522050%10 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes41c50.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5918433.2%61 W · 123 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No56c49.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No57c49.25$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.077352.1%38 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed No47c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes62c47.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.9711849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes44c46.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831850%9 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…72ebbacked Yes42c45.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…2e3abacked Yes42c45.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.442373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.19per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Yes42c45.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.44955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes42c45.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.442466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No60c44.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5533560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.