South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Botafogo FR vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x808163059180e93c9ebe145bae59fb85c09c0bd5f4a2c30b801b3abbed19bc3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95a9…4352backed No | 73c | 4,257$3,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.44 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 70cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,751$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.22 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 28c | 2,549$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…62c7backed Yes | 30c | 1,699$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…7e5ebacked No | 73c | 1,484$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52e…453fbacked No | 73c | 1,285$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 71c | 1,211$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.81 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 732.25$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…a3d3backed No | 72c | 635.03$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 27c | 577$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.79 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 559.25$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 24c | 461.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 148 | 24.3%36 W · 112 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 73c | 427.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 343.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked No | 68c | 303.26$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 229.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 227.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 73c | 212.81$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 72c | 210.72$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 209.09$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 27c | 193.56$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked No | 71c | 189.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 29c | 176.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 148.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 143.55$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 74c | 91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…5301backed Yes | 25c | 88.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 73.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 67c | 73.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.14 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 29c | 67.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 36c | 67.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 30c | 63.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 28c | 60.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 32c | 55.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 28c | 50.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 33c | 50.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 33c | 50.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 33c | 50.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 33c | 50.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 73c | 40.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 72c | 39.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…c51bbacked No | 74c | 38.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 34c | 37.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 32c | 35.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 32c | 35.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 72c | 35.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 33c | 34.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed No | 71c | 34.41$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 31.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 72c | 25.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed No | 71c | 20.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Botafogo FR vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-01?Yes won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-04-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.