Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02dc46f4354c1cc447577db82ba62cca1bda737bd67b73fe966ce1bfe580868f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,368,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,892,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,368,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 4,222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe25d…452cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,250,514$24,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,926.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Yes | 2c | 1,131,705$24,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,406.72 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…5658backed Yes | 3c | 1,042,266$27,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,213.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bb…43cebacked Yes | 4c | 971,040$33,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,986.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 4c | 955,202$36,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,646.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Yes | 2c | 873,763$17,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,354.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 3c | 862,949$21,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,916.7 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…fb46backed Yes | 3c | 721,333$18,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,490.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 2c | 690,493$16,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,988.18 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…c7bebacked Yes | 2c | 641,476$13,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,987.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443e…fef8backed Yes | 2c | 629,000$15,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,410.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 2c | 600,728$12,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,226.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b1…ec77backed Yes | 3c | 575,866$16,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,033.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…a2a5backed Yes | 29c | 573,591$167,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167,267.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 4c | 549,981$24,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,613.13 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 10c | 549,976$55,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,114.93 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 5c | 538,477$24,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,244.72 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 15c | 510,381$78,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,975.2 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…c1bfbacked Yes | 2c | 503,496$10,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,914.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…6d08backed Yes | 2c | 503,071$11,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,851.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 3c | 458,377$12,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,142 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…6a53backed Yes | 3c | 445,372$11,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,197.88 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562e…4956backed Yes | 3c | 418,789$13,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,885.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…a199backed Yes | 2c | 387,219$9,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,391.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 16c | 385,768$62,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,472.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 4c | 382,817$15,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,264.52 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 2c | 371,674$8,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,495.97 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9145…2994backed Yes | 2c | 367,607$7,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,856.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…0479backed Yes | 4c | 346,622$12,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,667.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…17f4backed Yes | 3c | 336,799$10,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,125.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…4b1fbacked Yes | 4c | 333,954$14,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,861.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…387dbacked Yes | 27c | 321,617$85,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,778.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…4252backed Yes | 2c | 313,240$6,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,208.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…431bbacked Yes | 29c | 303,838$88,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,871.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…4de3backed Yes | 2c | 297,670$5,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,783 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…2368backed Yes | 3c | 286,115$9,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,895.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…e63cbacked Yes | 2c | 284,000$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Yes | 12c | 275,639$32,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,270.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb009…175bbacked Yes | 2c | 269,883$4,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,822.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…6b20backed Yes | 30c | 218,057$66,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,187.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…3413backed Yes | 2c | 210,926$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f23…b36ebacked Yes | 3c | 199,647$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…04f8backed Yes | 2c | 199,087$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…c395backed Yes | 2c | 198,999$4,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,017.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e94…3d35backed Yes | 3c | 188,379$5,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,747.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d66…f7bebacked Yes | 3c | 186,854$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,503.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 2c | 183,071$3,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,965.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked Yes | 2c | 178,444$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…0c07backed Yes | 6c | 178,310$11,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,189.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…a74abacked Yes | 2c | 177,475$4,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,136.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e5…bc26backed Yes | 2c | 176,260$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…3de0backed Yes | 2c | 172,099$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes | 2c | 168,222$3,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,649.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Yes | 14c | 167,163$24,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,107.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…46c2backed Yes | 3c | 165,506$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 4c | 161,434$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,179.13 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…846bbacked No | 72c | 160,000$115,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,560.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…6b7bbacked Yes | 3c | 157,933$5,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,384.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3f…003bbacked Yes | 2c | 155,909$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.53 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c16…45e9backed Yes | 2c | 155,160$3,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,540.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…5150backed Yes | 2c | 153,918$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…1ec9backed Yes | 3c | 149,218$4,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,459.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…694dbacked Yes | 2c | 148,762$3,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,176.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…42dabacked Yes | 23c | 148,163$34,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,714.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked Yes | 10c | 146,097$14,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,456.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc32…996bbacked Yes | 8c | 139,518$11,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa652…6f8fbacked Yes | 2c | 137,579$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d750backed Yes | 2c | 135,495$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb0…bfc1backed Yes | 2c | 132,907$2,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…acd5backed Yes | 2c | 132,748$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 3c | 131,673$4,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,037.19 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…1f59backed Yes | 2c | 130,866$2,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,987.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…da02backed Yes | 8c | 129,177$10,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,001.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…60ecbacked Yes | 2c | 128,181$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f8…6b35backed Yes | 3c | 128,026$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,285 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4f…e6b7backed Yes | 42c | 120,049$49,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,932.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…1824backed Yes | 2c | 118,964$2,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.51 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f45…edfebacked Yes | 2c | 113,912$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…cda0backed Yes | 2c | 111,585$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,648.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 14c | 110,197$15,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,579.32 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…f757backed Yes | 3c | 108,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…1b08backed Yes | 3c | 107,236$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 2c | 107,085$2,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,570.04 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Yes | 15c | 104,477$15,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,604.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc964…bc79backed Yes | 1c | 102,929$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f4…aed4backed Yes | 5c | 102,610$5,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,461.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 3c | 102,416$2,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.37 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 9c | 101,828$9,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,157.63 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…e9cfbacked Yes | 2c | 100,895$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…9d96backed Yes | 2c | 100,666$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 3c | 100,001$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.16 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -78%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 7c | 100,000$6,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,963.29 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…46a8backed Yes | 2c | 100,000$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 2c | 100,000$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.38 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc30…ab64backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0df…2ef7backed Yes | 3c | 99,824$3,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,001.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e5…c4f6backed Yes | 2c | 99,300$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,888.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 3c | 98,515$3,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.93 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…9e47backed Yes | 2c | 97,273$2,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…cf58backed Yes | 3c | 94,193$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.