Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d095422da9f6c3ceed727a4b6251177f618b002d2a698bfccb48716c7aa469
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,002,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,128,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,002,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 785 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 4,801,239$13,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,615.36 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 0c | 3,188,730$10,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,422.28 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…1b07backed Yes | 0c | 2,865,311$3,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,087.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…452cbacked Yes | 0c | 2,000,000$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…4de3backed Yes | 0c | 1,809,194$8,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,276.78 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f2…1240backed Yes | 0c | 1,800,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 1,223,054$6,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,859.12 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…a199backed Yes | 0c | 1,093,819$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3c…adb1backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa283…17f4backed Yes | 0c | 988,642$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 981,000$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,976 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…f5d2backed Yes | 0c | 687,353$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…db70backed Yes | 0c | 644,678$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…6d08backed Yes | 0c | 633,333$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…64b8backed Yes | 0c | 613,173$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Yes | 1c | 551,902$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe75b…fb46backed Yes | 0c | 549,000$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55bd…83d0backed Yes | 0c | 510,477$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…520dbacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22fb…d7d6backed Yes | 0c | 474,951$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.3 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…ab2abacked Yes | 1c | 450,670$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…7182backed Yes | 0c | 433,000$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…74cbbacked Yes | 1c | 392,909$1,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,964.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53c…67a5backed Yes | 0c | 385,515$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed Yes | 1c | 380,976$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.57 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f81…545fbacked Yes | 0c | 380,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc683…4b1fbacked Yes | 0c | 379,421$1,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,239.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a1…d723backed Yes | 0c | 375,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e6…c1bfbacked Yes | 0c | 322,692$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x963d…ec60backed Yes | 0c | 319,000$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644a…efcebacked Yes | 1c | 318,537$2,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,923.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e5…c4f6backed Yes | 0c | 316,000$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f43…d2f3backed Yes | 0c | 304,000$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca4…acd5backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7384…66d5backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…cf58backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 296,949$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 0c | 286,952$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…ae6cbacked Yes | 1c | 265,841$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 244,259$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.88 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…e5bebacked Yes | 1c | 240,502$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.42 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4d…5f9fbacked Yes | 1c | 213,971$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.34 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115d…f608backed Yes | 0c | 210,526$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.53 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…a74abacked Yes | 0c | 202,690$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3312backed Yes | 0c | 200,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…ed3bbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55c5…1710backed Yes | 0c | 191,780$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5abb…8633backed Yes | 1c | 188,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 0c | 179,223$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…0ec0backed Yes | 0c | 173,577$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…1a4abacked Yes | 0c | 165,777$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…e124backed Yes | 1c | 161,122$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e4…eff6backed Yes | 1c | 155,482$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…0479backed Yes | 0c | 150,131$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae3…6537backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf179…914dbacked Yes | 1c | 148,800$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…bda6backed Yes | 0c | 140,300$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf359…3473backed Yes | 1c | 138,744$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9895…3870backed Yes | 0c | 133,000$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 0c | 132,047$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.05 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…2140backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e22…d7e3backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3256…830cbacked Yes | 0c | 124,983$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde4…8773backed Yes | 0c | 124,339$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…db23backed Yes | 0c | 116,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501f…6b40backed Yes | 0c | 112,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…494fbacked Yes | 0c | 111,975$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…07fabacked Yes | 0c | 110,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…7937backed Yes | 0c | 107,944$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8a…278fbacked Yes | 0c | 107,472$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f3…1736backed Yes | 0c | 105,333$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…2b89backed Yes | 0c | 104,833$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 0c | 104,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3910…ba74backed Yes | 0c | 103,333$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf356…211abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…1b08backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x674a…d582backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5697…c7bebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…c84abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca17…bbabbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa161…0ce8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdb…14d8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeada…58d1backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…60ecbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb670…f16ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…2a7dbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…007cbacked Yes | 1c | 99,382$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…6bc0backed Yes | 0c | 98,009$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…2d0cbacked Yes | 0c | 97,340$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f3…713ebacked Yes | 0c | 93,855$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Yes | 1c | 91,277$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.43 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a8…8f5ebacked Yes | 1c | 83,343$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…5f32backed Yes | 0c | 83,333$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…694dbacked Yes | 0c | 82,670$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433a…71e7backed Yes | 1c | 80,356$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…3e08backed Yes | 1c | 80,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…43efbacked Yes | 0c | 80,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…ad82backed Yes | 0c | 76,410$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.