Earnings · resolved market
Will Pathward Financial (CASH) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98db4dbbbb9fb6ab06522d7481c9fec51436df198afe78768a2e3e4787cb6c2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3161…623dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,531$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.87 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda53…9209backed Yes | 6c | 4,479$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…c11abacked Yes | 4c | 3,138$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.31 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…c4f8backed Yes | 10c | 2,598$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 2,264$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…ad58backed Yes | 12c | 2,240$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked No | 77c | 2,190$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.4 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +106.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…0b82backed Yes | 33c | 2,130$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,510$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f88…bd2bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,305$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked Yes | 3c | 1,257$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…b632backed Yes | 8c | 1,220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked Yes | 8c | 1,179$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 1,092$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a7…5049backed Yes | 10c | 1,039$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145d…4af2backed Yes | 4c | 880.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 32cpaid | +122.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…9ac0backed Yes | 13c | 871.93$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 864.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed Yes | 6c | 837.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 13c | 835.79$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…416abacked Yes | 6c | 823.47$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 7c | 800$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…da55backed Yes | 14c | 720$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 15c | 695.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…9a2fbacked Yes | 10c | 591.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed Yes | 8c | 468.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de3…15ccbacked Yes | 2c | 422.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabf…bb11backed Yes | 5c | 414.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…bdbfbacked Yes | 2c | 414.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Yes | 9c | 408.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked No | 20c | 393.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.89 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked Yes | 15c | 365$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Yes | 11c | 356.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…4325backed Yes | 10c | 346$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5916…8d4fbacked Yes | 18c | 280$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 13c | 245.15$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…919bbacked Yes | 4c | 231.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce15…cbb7backed Yes | 6c | 224.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 57c | 204$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.72 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ad…4363backed Yes | 8c | 200.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffd3…c80fbacked Yes | 10c | 199.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked No | 21c | 199.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 78c | 191.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.24 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…84b3backed Yes | 16c | 180$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…839fbacked Yes | 7c | 180$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 30c | 135.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…02c3backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…36cdbacked Yes | 79c | 126.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 18c | 121$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea0…01ccbacked Yes | 8c | 120.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…1465backed Yes | 11c | 100.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed No | 66c | 99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…f72abacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265f…9074backed Yes | 32c | 65.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 23c | 49.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e858backed No | 55c | 46.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed No | 30c | 39.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…a54bbacked Yes | 31c | 31.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed No | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4d…d172backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…0fd7backed Yes | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…bf07backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 74c | 18.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Yes | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.