UFC · resolved market
Pennington vs. Gomes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f5bbc6237f71da6281102ac36422b59e1769febcc8701e28c1be28a97429047
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gomesof Pennington, Gomes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Pennington | 36c | 10,781$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.19 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Pennington | 5c | 9,505$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.26 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Pennington | 36c | 1,800$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.99 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Pennington | 37c | 1,742$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.3 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Gomes | 64c | 1,543$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.03 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Gomes | 64c | 1,297$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.87 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Gomes | 63c | 1,195$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.1 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Pennington | 9c | 1,116$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba6…af21backed Gomes | 64c | 1,045$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pennington | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Pennington | 36c | 930$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.8 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Gomes | 63c | 785.35$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…e68abacked Gomes | 63c | 664.68$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Gomes | 78c | 604.51$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.49 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pennington | 37c | 530$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.1 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Gomes | 63c | 473.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.71 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Pennington | 36c | 450.11$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Gomes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Pennington | 36c | 390$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.4 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Pennington | 30c | 350$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Pennington | 38c | 263.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ea…d11ebacked Gomes | 64c | 254.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Gomes | 63c | 243$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Pennington | 25c | 239.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Gomes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Pennington | 4c | 225$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Gomes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Pennington | 37c | 181.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Gomes | 64c | 157.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.3 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Pennington | 36c | 156.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Gomes | 65c | 152.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.95 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Pennington | 37c | 142.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.81 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Gomes | 63c | 141.89$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Pennington | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Pennington | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Pennington | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Pennington | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Pennington | 34c | 123.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b9…d928backed Gomes | 63c | 117.21$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Pennington | 36c | 107.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pennington | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Pennington | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Gomes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Pennington | 37c | 97.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pennington | 35c | 95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Pennington | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…8fb9backed Pennington | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a8…0cecbacked Gomes | 64c | 78.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Gomes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…c0b9backed Gomes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Gomes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Gomes | 63c | 42.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…4ab2backed Pennington | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Gomes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Gomes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Gomes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…8b6dbacked Gomes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…6819backed Gomes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02c…769fbacked Gomes | 64c | 16.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pennington vs. Gomesthis page
- Barcelos vs. SimonBarcelos won
- Bonfim vs. PadillaPadilla won
- Brown vs. BonfimBonfim won
- Bueno Silva vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
- Duncan vs. TulioDuncan won
- Emmers vs. AmilEmmers won
- Hokit vs. GimenisHokit won
- Salikhov vs. MedicMedic won
- Schnell vs. MoralesMorales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.