UFC · resolved market
Salikhov vs. Medic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04ff7ee5dce1c0dd6ed6c9c5db67dce3d94bdf8b27d1d69db7c3ed009cab7542
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medicof Salikhov, Medic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $881,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $882,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcfaa…2813backed Medic | 57c | 721,728$410,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311,270.04 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Salikhov | 43c | 250,000$107,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,500 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Salikhov | 43c | 151,349$65,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,080.01 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Salikhov | 43c | 135,000$58,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,050 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Medic | 60c | 64,794$38,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,991.4 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Salikhov | 44c | 41,574$18,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,407.1 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Salikhov | 44c | 30,000$13,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Salikhov | 43c | 25,000$10,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,810 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Salikhov | 43c | 25,000$10,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,750 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Salikhov | 44c | 23,020$10,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,108.37 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Salikhov | 47c | 12,389$5,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,766.79 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Salikhov | 43c | 11,111$4,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,777.73 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa514…1badbacked Salikhov | 45c | 10,728$4,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,825.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Salikhov | 43c | 10,658$4,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.68 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Salikhov | 45c | 9,871$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,424.37 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Medic | 55c | 7,300$3,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,314.98 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Medic | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Salikhov | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Salikhov | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Medic | 56c | 3,660$2,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.6 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Salikhov | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Medic | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Salikhov | 44c | 3,194$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.55 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Medic | 53c | 3,059$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.46 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Salikhov | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Salikhov | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b6…2d92backed Salikhov | 47c | 2,786$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…6f5ebacked Medic | 58c | 2,742$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.64 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Salikhov | 43c | 2,570$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.1 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52cb…7134backed Salikhov | 1c | 2,565$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Medic | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.5 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Salikhov | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -85%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Salikhov | 46c | 2,372$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c55…91d1backed Salikhov | 1c | 2,288$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Salikhov | 46c | 2,155$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.18 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Salikhov | 46c | 2,064$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.08 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Salikhov | 43c | 2,030$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.78 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Salikhov | 45c | 1,854$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.3 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Medic | 55c | 1,720$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Salikhov | 44c | 1,659$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Salikhov | 44c | 1,550$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Salikhov | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffc…ef35backed Salikhov | 41c | 1,339$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.77 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Salikhov | 46c | 1,305$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Salikhov | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Salikhov | 45c | 1,109$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Medic | 56c | 947.68$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.98 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Salikhov | 45c | 943.48$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.77 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Salikhov | 46c | 900$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Salikhov | 44c | 898.26$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.23 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Medic | 62c | 889.24$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.81 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Salikhov | 48c | 838.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Medic | 61c | 778.09$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.96 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Medic | 57c | 777.15$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.63 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Medic | 53c | 700.44$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.99 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Salikhov | 44c | 700$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Salikhov | 43c | 700$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x915d…65f9backed Salikhov | 45c | 660$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Salikhov | 43c | 641.74$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…3779backed Salikhov | 45c | 613$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Salikhov | 44c | 609.59$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Salikhov | 42c | 595.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Salikhov | 45c | 577.78$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Medic | 56c | 575$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Medic | 53c | 543.21$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.31 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Salikhov | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Salikhov | 39c | 526.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.37 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Salikhov | 41c | 513.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Medic | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed Salikhov | 44c | 456.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Salikhov | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Salikhov | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Salikhov | 36c | 401.42$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.51 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Salikhov | 44c | 395$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.8 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Salikhov | 44c | 381.8$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.99 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Salikhov | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed Salikhov | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Medic | 59c | 332.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Salikhov | 45c | 324$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Medic | 52c | 308.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.36 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +23.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Salikhov | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Medic | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Medic | 57c | 263.95$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.61 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Salikhov | 40c | 260.77$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2836…c511backed Salikhov | 40c | 249.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Salikhov | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Medic | 56c | 223.21$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 107 | 62.6%67 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Salikhov | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…377ebacked Salikhov | 46c | 217.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Salikhov | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Salikhov | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…13b9backed Salikhov | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a51…f9c0backed Salikhov | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Medic | 57c | 187.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae25…94bbbacked Salikhov | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Medic | 52c | 166.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.82 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Salikhov | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Salikhov | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Medic | 57c | 149$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…dda8backed Medic | 60c | 135.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Salikhov vs. Medicthis page
- Barcelos vs. SimonBarcelos won
- Bonfim vs. PadillaPadilla won
- Brown vs. BonfimBonfim won
- Bueno Silva vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
- Duncan vs. TulioDuncan won
- Emmers vs. AmilEmmers won
- Hokit vs. GimenisHokit won
- Pennington vs. GomesGomes won
- Schnell vs. MoralesMorales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.