TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Salikhov vs. Medic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Medicof Salikhov, Medic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$881,171
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$882,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,171 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcfaa…2813backed Medic57c721,728$410,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311,270.043036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Salikhov43c250,000$107,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,50019154.5%104 W · 87 L+14.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Salikhov43c151,349$65,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,080.013751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Salikhov43c135,000$58,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,0501968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+30.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Medic60c64,794$38,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,991.429151.9%151 W · 140 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Salikhov44c41,574$18,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,407.13525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Salikhov44c30,000$13,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,1003259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Salikhov43c25,000$10,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,81037152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Salikhov43c25,000$10,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,7503327.3%9 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Salikhov44c23,020$10,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,108.376850%34 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Salikhov47c12,389$5,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,766.793234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Salikhov43c11,111$4,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,777.732540%10 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa514…1badbacked Salikhov45c10,728$4,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,825.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Salikhov43c10,658$4,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,561.6828849.7%143 W · 145 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Salikhov45c9,871$4,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,424.378940.4%36 W · 53 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Medic55c7,300$3,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,314.9826743.8%117 W · 150 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Medic53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Salikhov44c5,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20028043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Salikhov43c4,500$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9357841%32 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Medic56c3,660$2,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.616951.5%87 W · 82 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Salikhov44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Medic56c3,500$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5406346%29 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Salikhov44c3,194$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.556533.8%22 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Medic53c3,059$1,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.4614929.5%44 W · 105 L-15.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-39.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Salikhov44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3205435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Salikhov43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29012052.5%63 W · 57 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31b6…2d92backed Salikhov47c2,786$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3009241.3%38 W · 54 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Medic58c2,742$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.646334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Salikhov43c2,570$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.116745.5%76 W · 91 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52cb…7134backed Salikhov1c2,565$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Medic56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.511746.2%54 W · 63 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Salikhov43c2,500$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.23per pick34cpaid-85%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Salikhov46c2,372$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1005232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.5wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-48.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0c55…91d1backed Salikhov1c2,288$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efe…7b44backed Salikhov46c2,155$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.182142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Salikhov46c2,064$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.0830964.7%200 W · 109 L+24.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Salikhov43c2,030$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.7821044.8%94 W · 116 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Salikhov45c1,854$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$834.35451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Medic55c1,720$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7743534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Salikhov44c1,659$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73012134.7%42 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Salikhov44c1,550$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68216247.5%77 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Salikhov44c1,500$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66017850%89 W · 89 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ffc…ef35backed Salikhov41c1,339$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.77875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Salikhov46c1,305$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Salikhov44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52817158.5%100 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Salikhov45c1,109$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010961.5%67 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked Medic56c947.68$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.987736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Salikhov45c943.48$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.7732545.2%147 W · 178 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Salikhov46c900$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.763234.4%11 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-25.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1f7b…d405backed Salikhov44c898.26$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.232630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Medic62c889.24$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.8111332.7%37 W · 76 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Salikhov48c838.75$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029848.7%145 W · 153 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x465b…41c3backed Medic61c778.09$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.966944.9%31 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Medic57c777.15$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.633145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Medic53c700.44$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.9910928.4%31 W · 78 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Salikhov44c700$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30839959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Salikhov43c700$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30337754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x915d…65f9backed Salikhov45c660$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2972123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Salikhov43c641.74$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.8451533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a6d…3779backed Salikhov45c613$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.881233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Salikhov44c609.59$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.131030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-53.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Salikhov42c595.24$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Salikhov45c577.78$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Medic56c575$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25312262.3%76 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Medic53c543.21$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.319228.3%26 W · 66 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Salikhov47c531.91$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Salikhov39c526.6$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3735253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Salikhov41c513.5$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.49148.4%44 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Medic57c500$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2156829.4%20 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e194backed Salikhov44c456.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Salikhov45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007737.7%29 W · 48 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Salikhov47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005954.2%32 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Salikhov36c401.42$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5118038.9%70 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Salikhov44c395$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.84425%11 W · 33 L-5.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-36.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Salikhov44c381.8$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9921247.2%100 W · 112 L+10.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbdbb…084ebacked Salikhov44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Salikhov43c350$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.52334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Medic59c332.08$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.155550.9%28 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Salikhov45c324$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.619230.7%59 W · 133 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Medic52c308.86$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3616955.6%94 W · 75 L+23.8wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+59.8%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Salikhov45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13510045%45 W · 55 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Medic56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8610043%43 W · 57 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Medic57c263.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6112446.8%58 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Salikhov40c260.77$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3148749.1%239 W · 248 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2836…c511backed Salikhov40c249.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Salikhov44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.213059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Medic56c223.21$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2110762.6%67 W · 40 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Salikhov45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2388…377ebacked Salikhov46c217.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Salikhov46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Salikhov46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013450%67 W · 67 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85da…13b9backed Salikhov46c200$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a51…f9c0backed Salikhov46c195.65$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Medic57c187.72$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.729547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae25…94bbbacked Salikhov44c170.45$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Medic52c166.23$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8233253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Salikhov46c163.04$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Salikhov40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014827%40 W · 108 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Medic57c149$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.073053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c4…dda8backed Medic60c135.35$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.