UFC · resolved market
Emmers vs. Amil
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6123bb473e3bfa427be049fe478113b18651d03c8a919c9030c000989bbf3bbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emmersof Emmers, Amil
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $121,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Emmers | 45c | 22,843$10,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,665.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Emmers | 45c | 12,302$5,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,748.29 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Amil | 57c | 10,837$6,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,177.29 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Amil | 56c | 10,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Emmers | 44c | 9,958$4,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,566.77 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Amil | 55c | 8,646$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.29 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Amil | 36c | 7,812$2,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,822.76 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Amil | 55c | 6,990$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.38 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…91e4backed Emmers | 44c | 5,546$2,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Amil | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Amil | 56c | 3,839$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.94 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Emmers | 63c | 3,710$2,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.96 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Amil | 57c | 3,524$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Amil | 56c | 3,344$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.64 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Emmers | 43c | 3,123$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,780.09 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…fed4backed Amil | 58c | 3,017$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,759.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Emmers | 65c | 2,625$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.5 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Emmers | 42c | 2,574$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.35 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Emmers | 42c | 2,516$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.12 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Emmers | 44c | 2,050$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.38 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Amil | 57c | 2,040$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Emmers | 43c | 2,024$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.66 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Amil | 54c | 2,000$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.2 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Emmers | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Emmers | 38c | 1,589$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.74 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Emmers | 37c | 1,555$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.85 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Emmers | 39c | 1,441$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.74 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…b1b3backed Amil | 58c | 1,340$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Emmers | 62c | 1,325$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.46 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Amil | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.96 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Emmers | 42c | 1,104$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.57 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Emmers | 44c | 1,050$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Amil | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Amil | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Emmers | 43c | 870$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.9 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Emmers | 43c | 773.65$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.88 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Amil | 57c | 732.9$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.24 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Amil | 50c | 720$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.93 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Amil | 58c | 698.28$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Amil | 57c | 656.14$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Amil | 58c | 637.93$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Emmers | 40c | 579.32$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.79 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Amil | 61c | 532$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.2 | 277 | 43%119 W · 158 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Amil | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Amil | 58c | 516.63$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Emmers | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Amil | 61c | 491.95$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Emmers | 40c | 473.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Amil | 57c | 434.23$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.51 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Amil | 55c | 414$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.7 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Amil | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Emmers | 43c | 353.49$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.49 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Emmers | 33c | 328.24$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.79 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Amil | 56c | 325.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Amil | 5c | 307.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…c0b9backed Amil | 58c | 268.02$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Amil | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Amil | 58c | 253.77$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Emmers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Emmers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Amil | 55c | 213.63$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.33 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…3c98backed Amil | 26c | 205$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Emmers | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Emmers | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Emmers | 44c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.5 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Emmers | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7da…7f7bbacked Emmers | 42c | 190.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Amil | 61c | 171.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1261…4e88backed Amil | 58c | 159.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…77b1backed Amil | 68c | 150.77$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Amil | 57c | 150$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Amil | 58c | 149.71$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Amil | 67c | 147.7$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 318 | 55%175 W · 143 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eec…6d82backed Emmers | 51c | 138.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Amil | 58c | 135.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.7 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Emmers | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Amil | 54c | 118.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Emmers | 32c | 114.88$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef13…53d2backed Emmers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Amil | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e5…1d48backed Emmers | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Emmers | 46c | 97.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Emmers | 67c | 88.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Amil | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Emmers | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea0…1c35backed Emmers | 43c | 78.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…3e08backed Emmers | 43c | 74.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Amil | 57c | 70.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Emmers | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Amil | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Emmers | 39c | 62.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Emmers | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc2…00b1backed Amil | 58c | 56.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Emmers | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Amil | 58c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 226 | 53.1%120 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Amil | 56c | 53.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e6…e1b9backed Emmers | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Amil | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Amil | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Amil | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Emmers vs. Amilthis page
- Barcelos vs. SimonBarcelos won
- Bonfim vs. PadillaPadilla won
- Brown vs. BonfimBonfim won
- Bueno Silva vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
- Duncan vs. TulioDuncan won
- Hokit vs. GimenisHokit won
- Pennington vs. GomesGomes won
- Salikhov vs. MedicMedic won
- Schnell vs. MoralesMorales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.