UFC · resolved market
Bueno Silva vs. Cavalcanti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x273eda21039066657369faf6ab33c658cf538a84520259aefc25aab06595dfe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavalcantiof Bueno Silva, Cavalcanti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Bueno Silva | 33c | 10,082$3,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,345.8 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Cavalcanti | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bueno Silva | 33c | 8,175$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.84 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 7,662$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.93 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Cavalcanti | 67c | 7,500$5,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bueno Silva | 34c | 7,000$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.98 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d1…9d8fbacked Bueno Silva | 32c | 6,361$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Bueno Silva | 30c | 3,469$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.65 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Cavalcanti | 72c | 3,427$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.83 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…45eebacked Cavalcanti | 68c | 3,390$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.92 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Cavalcanti | 70c | 3,322$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.6 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 2,990$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.8 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Bueno Silva | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Cavalcanti | 67c | 1,967$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.04 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Bueno Silva | 33c | 1,858$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.14 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 1,647$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.06 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Bueno Silva | 32c | 1,525$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.99 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Cavalcanti | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.28 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 1,367$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.72 | 105 | 22.9%24 W · 81 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd33e…4d22backed Cavalcanti | 71c | 1,092$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…d93bbacked Bueno Silva | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce5…4958backed Cavalcanti | 71c | 943.07$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Bueno Silva | 33c | 937.97$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.53 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 930$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Bueno Silva | 31c | 801.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Bueno Silva | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…0e64backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 800$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Cavalcanti | 68c | 700$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Cavalcanti | 76c | 680.29$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Bueno Silva | 33c | 606.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Bueno Silva | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavalcanti | 65c | 499.73$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Cavalcanti | 67c | 461.28$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Bueno Silva | 35c | 460$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Bueno Silva | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Bueno Silva | 34c | 433.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c81…e258backed Cavalcanti | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Cavalcanti | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Cavalcanti | 73c | 375.19$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Cavalcanti | 67c | 372.98$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 337.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.88 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624d…d225backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 334.15$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…dfefbacked Cavalcanti | 66c | 299.25$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 268.19$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 281 | 43.1%121 W · 160 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 257.5$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Bueno Silva | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 367 | 55.3%203 W · 164 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bueno Silva | 29c | 194.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Bueno Silva | 30c | 180.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bueno Silva | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 194 | 18.6%36 W · 158 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 154.12$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Bueno Silva | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Bueno Silva | 34c | 149.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe318…3506backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…88c1backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e7…613ebacked Cavalcanti | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…0ff2backed Bueno Silva | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Bueno Silva | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 36.5%61 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 98.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cf…568cbacked Bueno Silva | 34c | 94.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…8fb9backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 84.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Bueno Silva | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked Cavalcanti | 66c | 75.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 74.79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.43 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1261…4e88backed Cavalcanti | 67c | 72.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 72.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Bueno Silva | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…f634backed Bueno Silva | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bueno Silva | 30c | 58.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c45…47f1backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 190 | 65.3%124 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…b4e6backed Cavalcanti | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34dc…3367backed Bueno Silva | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…2c0bbacked Bueno Silva | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46f…c0b9backed Bueno Silva | 34c | 44.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Cavalcanti | 67c | 38.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65c1…8d38backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 36.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…fd60backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…a08bbacked Cavalcanti | 69c | 23.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe615…6819backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 150 | 62.7%94 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…7b5ebacked Cavalcanti | 67c | 21.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…fed7backed Cavalcanti | 69c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…0410backed Cavalcanti | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Cavalcanti | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bueno Silva vs. Cavalcantithis page
- Barcelos vs. SimonBarcelos won
- Bonfim vs. PadillaPadilla won
- Brown vs. BonfimBonfim won
- Duncan vs. TulioDuncan won
- Emmers vs. AmilEmmers won
- Hokit vs. GimenisHokit won
- Pennington vs. GomesGomes won
- Salikhov vs. MedicMedic won
- Schnell vs. MoralesMorales won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.