UFC · resolved market

Brown vs. Bonfim

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bc9a66674b22532fb46e9125f1b033beefeaff51fb9a1cee0fa3f7dc2aabbd0

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bonfimof Brown, Bonfim
Resolved: Nov 8, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $804,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $794,504

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $804,642 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcfaa…2813backed Bonfim	62c	602,138$371,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230,787.72	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa987…141dbacked Brown	38c	153,800$58,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58,444	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.2wins	+0.17per pick	51cpaid	+30.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Brown	38c	124,580$47,337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,337.3	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Brown	39c	123,496$47,629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,628.79	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Brown	38c	43,649$16,587 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,586.62	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Brown	39c	37,412$14,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,571.16	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Bonfim	77c	24,976$19,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,741.62	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Brown	38c	24,776$9,318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,317.97	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Brown	38c	24,000$9,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,120	371	52.8%196 W · 175 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Brown	40c	22,000$8,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,839.99	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Brown	40c	20,599$8,239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,239.47	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-18%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Brown	38c	17,909$6,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,791.66	25	40%10 W · 15 L	-3.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Brown	39c	17,780$6,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,978.84	277	43%119 W · 158 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Bonfim	60c	15,909$9,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,313.4	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Brown	39c	15,166$5,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,967.2	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Brown	39c	10,462$4,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,123.81	130	39.2%51 W · 79 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Bonfim	59c	10,135$6,022 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,112.65	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked Brown	39c	10,000$3,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,900	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd814…7f65backed Brown	26c	9,000$2,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,360	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Brown	39c	8,877$3,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,417.69	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Brown	22c	8,011$1,736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,735.84	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Brown	40c	7,000$2,770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,770	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Brown	39c	6,500$2,535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,535	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Bonfim	60c	5,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Brown	40c	4,667$1,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,858.4	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Brown	40c	3,280$1,312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,312.05	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Bonfim	61c	3,280$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.2	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Brown	40c	3,000$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Brown	41c	2,874$1,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,190	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-10.5wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Brown	41c	2,860$1,186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,185.8	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Brown	33c	2,661$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869.37	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Bonfim	60c	2,524$1,513 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,010.79	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Brown	39c	2,500$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Brown	39c	2,322$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.02	54	46.3%25 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14c3…df68backed Brown	19c	2,314$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.46	82	48.8%40 W · 42 L	+6.3wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Brown	40c	2,285$914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$914	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Bonfim	60c	2,024$1,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$809.69	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.8wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf327…34dbbacked Brown	24c	2,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Bonfim	76c	2,000$1,520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e6…409fbacked Brown	40c	1,850$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.5	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Brown	42c	1,846$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$775.78	318	55%175 W · 143 L	+5.3wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Brown	39c	1,843$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$726.11	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Brown	38c	1,842$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.96	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Bonfim	59c	1,714$1,011 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.73	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.6wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+23.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e1…6f5ebacked Bonfim	59c	1,639$974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$664.69	63	34.9%22 W · 41 L	-3.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Brown	40c	1,439$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575.52	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brown	24c	1,301$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.38	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76ed…fa48backed Brown	40c	1,275$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	111	40.5%45 W · 66 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa71a…e4e2backed Brown	42c	1,196$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Brown	42c	1,190$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	109	61.5%67 W · 42 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Bonfim	63c	1,013$636 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.6	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bonfim	59c	999.98$590 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.99	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked Bonfim	58c	946.17$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.39	77	36.4%28 W · 49 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b7…60a4backed Brown	31c	900$279 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279	325	45.2%147 W · 178 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Brown	38c	900$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Brown	40c	882.83$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.03	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Brown	39c	880$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.2	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa727…8289backed Brown	40c	817.07$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	41cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Bonfim	60c	742.78$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.11	168	51.8%87 W · 81 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x915d…65f9backed Brown	40c	741.43$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.57	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.8wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Brown	41c	740.26$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Brown	40c	676.73$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.69	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Bonfim	69c	650$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.5	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Bonfim	61c	600$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234	130	41.5%54 W · 76 L	-9.1wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeab2…2b11backed Bonfim	61c	579.49$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.1	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Bonfim	61c	543$331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.77	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06e8…4675backed Brown	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Brown	40c	500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Brown	16c	499.99$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Brown	41c	487.8$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	-5.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf826…cd1abacked Brown	40c	437.5$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	-7.4wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Brown	40c	409.51$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.8	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x17e7…77b1backed Bonfim	76c	393.27$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.27	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Brown	42c	353.88$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc565…25fbbacked Bonfim	60c	340$204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$136	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.33per pick	67cpaid	+50.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa14f…f7f9backed Brown	40c	340$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Brown	39c	330$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.7	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb46f…c0b9backed Brown	40c	312.5$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Brown	34c	300$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Brown	41c	300$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brown	23c	280$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.7	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Bonfim	61c	267.87$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.41	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Brown	39c	256.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Bonfim	59c	252.82$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$102.82	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85da…13b9backed Brown	40c	250$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.2	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a51…f9c0backed Brown	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2467…c702backed Brown	39c	250$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+6.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Brown	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	139	40.3%56 W · 83 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Brown	40c	249.08$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c54…82babacked Bonfim	62c	242.97$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.97	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Brown	40c	240$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe016…424bbacked Brown	42c	231.82$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Bonfim	62c	216.13$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.13	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Bonfim	60c	207.86$125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.86	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Bonfim	59c	201.32$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.56	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Brown	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdb90…1917backed Brown	39c	200$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	115	40.9%47 W · 68 L	-10.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Bonfim	59c	200$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82	171	58.5%100 W · 71 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Brown	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5c…0c50backed Brown	6c	200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	17cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brown vs. Bonfimthis page
Barcelos vs. SimonBarcelos won
Bonfim vs. PadillaPadilla won
Bueno Silva vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
Duncan vs. TulioDuncan won
Emmers vs. AmilEmmers won
Hokit vs. GimenisHokit won
Pennington vs. GomesGomes won
Salikhov vs. MedicMedic won
Schnell vs. MoralesMorales won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brown vs. Bonfim

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event