UFC · resolved market

Barcelos vs. Simon

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fd7e2a01e45da4cf0ec4bf2b20505c9341bca34b55d25d48c72786b8614946d

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Barcelosof Barcelos, Simon
Resolved: Nov 8, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $187,325
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $249,513

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,325 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3745…cf3bbacked Simon	23c	42,688$9,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,669.99	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Barcelos	78c	30,604$23,805 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,798.87	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Simon	61c	12,821$7,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,828.25	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-5.7wins	-0.14per pick	54cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Barcelos	39c	10,101$3,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,192.9	54	40.7%22 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0d…b006backed Barcelos	57c	8,640$4,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,740.79	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20a8…f004backed Barcelos	47c	6,708$3,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,572.24	209	54.1%113 W · 96 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Simon	63c	6,000$3,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,779.99	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdecc…9d36backed Barcelos	39c	5,130$2,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,129.3	169	51.5%87 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Barcelos	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,099.93	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Barcelos	38c	3,814$1,454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,359.84	288	49.7%143 W · 145 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Barcelos	37c	3,155$1,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,990.29	202	33.7%68 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Barcelos	39c	2,500$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,520.13	117	46.2%54 W · 63 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Barcelos	37c	2,500$925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-4.5wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Simon	26c	2,208$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.1	145	30.3%44 W · 101 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Simon	63c	2,183$1,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,384.28	267	43.8%117 W · 150 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Simon	62c	2,161$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.37	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Simon	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	309	64.7%200 W · 109 L	+24.5wins	+0.08per pick	57cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Barcelos	66c	1,600$1,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$541.4	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Barcelos	36c	1,412$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.46	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Simon	47c	1,400$660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660	377	54.6%206 W · 171 L	+19.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Simon	62c	1,350$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837	122	62.3%76 W · 46 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Simon	19c	1,329$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.18	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-4.8wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Simon	62c	1,300$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-10.5wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xcac4…bf62backed Simon	64c	1,132$727 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Simon	66c	1,065$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	298	48.7%145 W · 153 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c6d…e194backed Simon	62c	1,044$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.11per pick	58cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Simon	62c	1,013$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.97	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Simon	62c	970.59$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.56	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Simon	62c	930$577 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576.6	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-4.9wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x041f…fce8backed Simon	62c	927.42$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd23f…0077backed Simon	62c	806.45$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	58cpaid	-32%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Barcelos	64c	787.09$504 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$282.94	57	75.4%43 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Simon	62c	782.26$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	109	61.5%67 W · 42 L	+8.2wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52f4…2b15backed Simon	27c	744.89$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	161	56.5%91 W · 70 L	+10.2wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+67.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Barcelos	53c	698.99$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.65	136	36%49 W · 87 L	-13.8wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Barcelos	39c	660.11$261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.57	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2836…c511backed Barcelos	39c	580$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$353.8	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Simon	68c	570$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.1	215	54.4%117 W · 98 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd116…be32backed Barcelos	38c	566.92$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.49	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+3.8wins	+0.21per pick	51cpaid	+73.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Simon	67c	559.64$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.62	280	43.2%121 W · 159 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Barcelos	36c	511$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.04	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Barcelos	70c	504.82$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.42	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Simon	52c	500$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbddd…3d9abacked Barcelos	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…c72dbacked Barcelos	40c	499.99$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Simon	20c	436.03$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.09	192	30.7%59 W · 133 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…6598backed Barcelos	38c	405.26$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.26	134	50%67 W · 67 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Simon	64c	400$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Simon	64c	398.31$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.92	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Simon	64c	395.41$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.01	67	56.7%38 W · 29 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Barcelos	37c	390$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245.7	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	+4.9wins	+0.06per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0174…f66fbacked Barcelos	37c	347.1$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.46	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Simon	69c	344$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.68	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17e7…77b1backed Barcelos	80c	334.63$268 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.93	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x468f…c2a7backed Simon	60c	333.33$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	140	45.7%64 W · 76 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Simon	62c	322.58$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	186	44.1%82 W · 104 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Simon	40c	322.46$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.34	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Simon	62c	322.45$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.92	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-4.0wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7da…7f7bbacked Simon	65c	307.69$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+19%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Simon	71c	292$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.46	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Simon	62c	242$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.04	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…dfefbacked Simon	66c	241.95$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…e7b3backed Simon	62c	241.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f84…7650backed Simon	64c	234.38$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	61	55.7%34 W · 27 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab43…f7b3backed Simon	61c	230.65$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.5	160	58.8%94 W · 66 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Simon	61c	221$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.81	121	47.1%57 W · 64 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Barcelos	41c	215.55$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.88	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Barcelos	20c	205.59$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.47	169	55.6%94 W · 75 L	+23.8wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked Barcelos	36c	199.99$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.98	148	27%40 W · 108 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7774…15d4backed Simon	65c	196.89$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.98	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab33…cf5dbacked Simon	62c	193.55$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	107	62.6%67 W · 40 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Simon	62c	161.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb46f…c0b9backed Barcelos	37c	157.03$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.59	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Barcelos	37c	152.14$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.85	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Simon	49c	150$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.5	47	46.8%22 W · 25 L	-4.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Barcelos	40c	137.09$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.25	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1e…ea39backed Simon	62c	130.11$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.67	324	31.8%103 W · 221 L	-9.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Barcelos	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x788d…99bbbacked Barcelos	80c	125.26$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.26	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34dc…3367backed Barcelos	80c	125$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e6…f634backed Simon	65c	123.08$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	95	47.4%45 W · 50 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Simon	33c	121.21$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1261…4e88backed Simon	65c	104.03$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.62	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	61cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Barcelos	35c	101.36$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.88	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Barcelos	39c	100.03$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.02	81	58%47 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85da…13b9backed Barcelos	65c	100$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Simon	62c	100$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f8…0ff2backed Barcelos	36c	100$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64	74	48.6%36 W · 38 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Barcelos	39c	100$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61	167	36.5%61 W · 106 L	-7.1wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10cf…010dbacked Barcelos	37c	100$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eec…6d82backed Simon	25c	97.69$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.12	37	56.8%21 W · 16 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3add…ade5backed Barcelos	40c	93.95$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.45	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Simon	62c	88.87$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	246	49.6%122 W · 124 L	+14.2wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7a8…0cecbacked Simon	62c	80.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Simon	64c	80.26$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.47	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Barcelos	38c	80$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.6	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e07…3702backed Simon	62c	80$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3149…9762backed Simon	64c	76.23$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.78	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Barcelos	36c	70$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.8	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea81…30b5backed Barcelos	37c	67.57$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.57	283	33.2%94 W · 189 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Barcelos vs. Simonthis page
Bonfim vs. PadillaPadilla won
Brown vs. BonfimBonfim won
Bueno Silva vs. CavalcantiCavalcanti won
Duncan vs. TulioDuncan won
Emmers vs. AmilEmmers won
Hokit vs. GimenisHokit won
Pennington vs. GomesGomes won
Salikhov vs. MedicMedic won
Schnell vs. MoralesMorales won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Barcelos vs. Simon

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event