WNBA · resolved market
Aces vs. Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4e6e38774fd8f5ebeaaf3c2a53c715d7b0e7603e5edc3a57408a132f89eeb28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Aces, Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $232,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52cb…060fbacked Mercury | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Aces | 56c | 24,110$13,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,703.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Mercury | 45c | 16,028$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mercury | 44c | 13,832$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,071.56 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +9.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Mercury | 40c | 11,577$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,658.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Aces | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Mercury | 46c | 4,138$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.6 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Aces | 54c | 3,407$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,567.43 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercury | 13c | 2,823$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.06 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5df…2f2dbacked Aces | 56c | 2,774$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed Aces | 56c | 2,696$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9d…dc00backed Mercury | 45c | 2,533$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…6b5abacked Aces | 55c | 2,533$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Mercury | 45c | 2,482$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.12 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Aces | 55c | 2,263$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.19 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Mercury | 24c | 2,134$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.37 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Mercury | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Aces | 56c | 1,999$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mercury | 46c | 1,791$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mercury | 47c | 1,722$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Mercury | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Mercury | 45c | 1,476$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.51 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Mercury | 47c | 1,426$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.97 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Aces | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mercury | 22c | 1,299$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Mercury | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Aces | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…f4e4backed Aces | 75c | 1,052$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mercury | 11c | 1,000$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Aces | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…1744backed Aces | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mercury | 44c | 843.63$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.2 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Aces | 55c | 808.88$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mercury | 14c | 801.84$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mercury | 44c | 783.12$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.39 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Aces | 69c | 744.3$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.56 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…d771backed Mercury | 16c | 685.88$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Aces | 80c | 616$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Mercury | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Mercury | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Mercury | 46c | 578.13$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x055b…9db2backed Aces | 56c | 504.94$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Mercury | 23c | 500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8f…e91cbacked Mercury | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Mercury | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Mercury | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Aces | 78c | 486$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Aces | 56c | 468.97$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…366bbacked Aces | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6714…b0b1backed Aces | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…2953backed Aces | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Aces | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Mercury | 8c | 349.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 232 | 34.5%80 W · 152 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711d…167dbacked Mercury | 44c | 348.7$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Mercury | 46c | 325$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Aces | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Mercury | 45c | 283.8$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Aces | 55c | 267.73$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Mercury | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Aces | 57c | 226$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Mercury | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…2484backed Mercury | 9c | 220$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mercury | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mercury | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mercury | 44c | 204.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.15 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Mercury | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Aces | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1a…c9a2backed Mercury | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5b…cfcbbacked Aces | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Mercury | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Aces | 56c | 179.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 40cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Mercury | 44c | 168.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8657…5741backed Mercury | 13c | 157.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…19c1backed Mercury | 44c | 156.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Mercury | 45c | 153.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Mercury | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a48…37b3backed Aces | 57c | 136.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…3d59backed Mercury | 44c | 136.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Aces | 74c | 118.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Mercury | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11cd…c12bbacked Aces | 57c | 103.51$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Aces | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Aces | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa795…a42bbacked Aces | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…b68ebacked Mercury | 45c | 91.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Aces | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Aces | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…0230backed Aces | 57c | 87.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Aces | 53c | 80.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cba…b0e4backed Mercury | 20c | 79.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Aces | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Mercury | 19c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Aces | 54c | 66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Aces | 58c | 63.4$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Aces | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x883c…5f03backed Aces | 56c | 57.21$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3507…475abacked Aces | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Mercury | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Aces | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf53b…4340backed Aces | 55c | 39.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.