TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

Shauna Bannon vs. Puja Tomar

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bannonof Bannon, Tomar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,332

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x01ba…b77abacked Bannon65c18,000$11,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,300.6222259.5%132 W · 90 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tomar35c10,002$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.6416049.4%79 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Tomar35c5,400$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,890650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f6…d035backed Tomar35c4,454$1,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.87955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Tomar36c3,000$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06542042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Tomar36c2,016$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.763050%15 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bannon68c2,000$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64924862.5%155 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bannon62c1,755$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.3814751%75 W · 72 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Tomar30c1,215$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.587646.1%35 W · 41 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Tomar30c1,190$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.15642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bannon64c1,068$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.4818560%111 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Tomar3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301012%2 W · 99 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf6f…3173backed Bannon68c880.59$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.59366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Bannon65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2335664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Tomar39c729.19$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.6423537%87 W · 148 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Bannon65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.386352.4%33 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf725…136abacked Bannon69c511$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.413754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7dd…1e23backed Tomar33c453.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010529.5%31 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd353…f6acbacked Tomar42c450$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18925251.2%129 W · 123 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bannon62c413$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.2533253.3%177 W · 155 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Bannon59c370.55$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.9335253.1%187 W · 165 L+27.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bannon62c357.2$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13614355.9%80 W · 63 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Bannon65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.695754.4%31 W · 26 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Bannon65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.695954.2%32 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57ee…8112backed Tomar35c300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1045433.3%18 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7455…93adbacked Tomar37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11119531.8%62 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe311…f555backed Bannon61c285$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+138%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Tomar35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8836745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed Tomar41c248.9$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick57cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe545…a68cbacked Tomar41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014130.5%43 W · 98 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa793…e8babacked Bannon61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed Bannon62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.023852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Bannon65c199$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6520933.5%70 W · 139 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7d6…956bbacked Tomar39c180$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe801…564bbacked Tomar39c175$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb668…fb51backed Tomar39c175$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x871d…9a5cbacked Tomar39c175$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…6cecbacked Tomar39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb7…01f3backed Tomar39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…6d3cbacked Tomar39c170$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbafc…7939backed Bannon61c165$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa778…6a58backed Tomar39c160$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a83…e78ebacked Bannon61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd42…cf1ebacked Tomar39c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Bannon59c133.83$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.775858.6%34 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf960…fcbfbacked Bannon61c131.97$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.472466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Bannon62c116$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0410439.4%41 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x071f…97a9backed Tomar39c115$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9210…4e27backed Bannon61c115$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa034…32c3backed Tomar39c115$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f6…c209backed Bannon61c115$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.85250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a7…b410backed Bannon61c115$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.852100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99c2…e603backed Tomar39c115$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ccd…b2b5backed Bannon61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ef…fc12backed Tomar39c110$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50c2…6d37backed Bannon61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbd6…48c1backed Bannon61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb31…916dbacked Bannon61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6424…16e0backed Bannon61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x484d…4dcbbacked Bannon61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd10…52ddbacked Bannon61c105$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe91b…3334backed Bannon61c105$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bd2…f20ebacked Bannon61c105$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Bannon65c101.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0519152.9%101 W · 90 L+14.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1225…3a54backed Bannon61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4b3…208ebacked Bannon61c95$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3916…53c7backed Bannon67c87.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.195038%19 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Bannon70c87$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.972740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-32.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Tomar35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309737.1%36 W · 61 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked Bannon58c84$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2828743.9%126 W · 161 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9a…3124backed Bannon61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xace9…3e37backed Bannon61c70$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.33100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9df6…9233backed Tomar39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Tomar32c68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7639959.6%238 W · 161 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b4…37c9backed Tomar39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d59…db0abacked Tomar39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7d2…5bb1backed Tomar39c65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb050…07f9backed Tomar39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3674…faedbacked Bannon61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ee…5796backed Tomar39c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8775…c4aebacked Bannon61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ca…e168backed Tomar39c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bc…2dc5backed Tomar39c55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Bannon68c51.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.474763.8%30 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd09…6f2cbacked Tomar39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4540…d61abacked Tomar39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x287d…8410backed Tomar39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…0338backed Bannon61c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Bannon72c42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7637754.6%206 W · 171 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Bannon62c41.94$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9424649.6%122 W · 124 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f90…bacebacked Tomar39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-32.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8142…b413backed Tomar39c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x608b…7598backed Bannon61c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x653c…a02abacked Tomar33c39.39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Bannon63c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.186245.2%28 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd856…c901backed Bannon61c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d19…57eabacked Bannon61c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78c0…5783backed Bannon61c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick60cpaid+68.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Tomar36c32.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.771844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c45…47f1backed Bannon61c32.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6319065.3%124 W · 66 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.