UFC · resolved market
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed54e9b67588e8d3ae34621eeb39ee03530df1a6806e09e3458b3d6221bbfc16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Woodof Wood, Charriere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wood | 52c | 4,250$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Charriere | 43c | 3,851$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.61 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Charriere | 43c | 1,810$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.18 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Charriere | 1c | 1,107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Charriere | 56c | 1,000$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.3 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Wood | 69c | 759.18$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.05 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Wood | 50c | 744$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Charriere | 55c | 723$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.08 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xace4…bd19backed Wood | 43c | 650.94$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.04 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…3e37backed Wood | 46c | 610$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Wood | 50c | 608.31$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.76 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wood | 47c | 585.13$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.4 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Wood | 50c | 515.82$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.91 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5a…bf73backed Wood | 60c | 501.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Charriere | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Wood | 43c | 499.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Charriere | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Wood | 50c | 439$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.23 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Charriere | 48c | 437.22$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Charriere | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…2324backed Charriere | 43c | 349.18$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wood | 48c | 343.44$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe209…536dbacked Wood | 46c | 315$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Wood | 49c | 299.74$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.87 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba1…1703backed Charriere | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20a…d03ebacked Charriere | 54c | 275$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Charriere | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…d982backed Charriere | 54c | 245$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35ce…6ce0backed Charriere | 54c | 245$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9040…9e22backed Charriere | 54c | 240$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Charriere | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4024…35ccbacked Charriere | 54c | 215$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Wood | 47c | 213.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…eb8abacked Wood | 45c | 211.49$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d5…ccc7backed Wood | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Wood | 65c | 205$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2b…2ff0backed Wood | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Wood | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Charriere | 54c | 199.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Wood | 49c | 196$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…5c26backed Charriere | 51c | 196$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3a…236cbacked Charriere | 54c | 195$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafb7…75f4backed Charriere | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Charriere | 58c | 188.53$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c84…9296backed Wood | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…b9b0backed Wood | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c2d…43f3backed Charriere | 54c | 170$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8332…7c18backed Wood | 46c | 170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc8…6d54backed Wood | 46c | 170$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…47e9backed Charriere | 54c | 165$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…b2a6backed Charriere | 54c | 165$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed Wood | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f1…4491backed Charriere | 54c | 160$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Charriere | 21c | 160$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…e9fabacked Wood | 46c | 155$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b58…fef7backed Charriere | 54c | 155$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fcbcbacked Wood | 46c | 155$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…253bbacked Wood | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da0…da0ebacked Wood | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbee7…f1e7backed Wood | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…a6c3backed Wood | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…51f3backed Wood | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f8…9139backed Wood | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe151…d3c4backed Charriere | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…6575backed Wood | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…9cbcbacked Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e4…d007backed Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f77…fe7bbacked Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53a5…a537backed Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…5c68backed Charriere | 54c | 145$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x740d…ecb6backed Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…1994backed Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1379…2548backed Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb65…8accbacked Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55a2…28edbacked Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc14…e34cbacked Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ef…4e15backed Wood | 46c | 145$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 56cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…f930backed Charriere | 54c | 145$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…9579backed Charriere | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…1226backed Wood | 46c | 140$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d97…f7c2backed Charriere | 55c | 130$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…c4cebacked Charriere | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cd…f1cdbacked Wood | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3a…dc63backed Charriere | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d8…cf41backed Charriere | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac7…96f9backed Charriere | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…a6babacked Charriere | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb01…ebedbacked Charriere | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324a…5c0ebacked Charriere | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…2303backed Charriere | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ba…84f7backed Charriere | 54c | 125$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Charriere | 12c | 123.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…fe8abacked Charriere | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa515…309bbacked Charriere | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…dca6backed Charriere | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb62…cd43backed Charriere | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f35…81abbacked Charriere | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…c97bbacked Wood | 46c | 115$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 45cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…1d90backed Charriere | 54c | 115$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…03cebacked Charriere | 54c | 105$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere this page
- Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Andrey PulyaevDuncan won
- Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin HollandHolland won
- Guram Kutateladze vs Kauê FernandesFernandes won
- Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla Padilla won
- Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos UlbergUlberg won
- Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris DuncanDuncan won
- Leon Edwards vs. Sean BradyBrady won
- Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Felipe Dos StanosKavanagh won
- Marcin Tybura vs. Mick ParkinTybura won
- Molly McCann vs. Alexia ThainaraThainara won
- Nathan Fletcher vs. Caolán LoughranLoughran won
- Shauna Bannon vs. Puja TomarBannon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.