UFC · resolved market

Molly McCann vs. Alexia Thainara

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f03d09704c9b03dd67dc5c1512f21a16701bac87c5e9a5c228b283c67ef908c

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Thainaraof McCann, Thainara
Resolved: Mar 22, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,682
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,682 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9267…0f9abacked McCann	34c	4,953$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.63	160	49.4%79 W · 81 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Thainara	65c	3,008$1,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.06	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed McCann	36c	2,771$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Thainara	66c	2,477$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.61	248	62.5%155 W · 93 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x863f…8775backed McCann	36c	2,459$881 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880.5	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+3.2wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48ae…2324backed Thainara	66c	2,310$1,527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.25	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	40cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12af…ff78backed Thainara	65c	2,000$1,290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$710	105	42.9%45 W · 60 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed McCann	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	101	2%2 W · 99 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed McCann	36c	1,871$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.56	358	26%93 W · 265 L	-7.5wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x080a…8b56backed McCann	4c	1,659$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+96.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed McCann	34c	1,429$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.09	420	42.6%179 W · 241 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2730…63eebacked Thainara	66c	1,066$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.39	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Thainara	67c	1,002$673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329.37	355	39.4%140 W · 215 L	-19.1wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Thainara	68c	982$668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.24	185	60%111 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Thainara	65c	898.18$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.49	76	46.1%35 W · 41 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Thainara	65c	852.66$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294.38	87	51.7%45 W · 42 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x298a…e635backed Thainara	65c	700$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$245	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	54cpaid	+96%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb375…0ce4backed McCann	35c	700$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Thainara	66c	610$403 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.5	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Thainara	66c	606.06$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.06	356	64.6%230 W · 126 L	+9.3wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x954c…6e6bbacked Thainara	65c	600$390 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ef…5cd6backed McCann	35c	600$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.4wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d68…919abacked McCann	35c	580$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c0…cee9backed Thainara	65c	580$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.47per pick	54cpaid	+96%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed McCann	35c	559.99$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196	118	44.1%52 W · 66 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked McCann	35c	551.49$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.99	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b13…39d3backed Thainara	66c	524.28$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.5	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+4.2wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xae72…ccdabacked Thainara	65c	500$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8d8…2a5ebacked Thainara	66c	500$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+94.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked McCann	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	49	53.1%26 W · 23 L	+3.8wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Thainara	65c	500$325 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bc…9de9backed McCann	34c	500$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf63…e9d4backed McCann	35c	500$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b30…6d91backed McCann	34c	490$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.6	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bf3…51d0backed Thainara	66c	490$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.6	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+94.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked McCann	33c	387.53$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.89	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked McCann	34c	332$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.88	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed McCann	34c	310$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.4	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Thainara	66c	310$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.4	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe545…a68cbacked McCann	33c	303.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	141	30.5%43 W · 98 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca86…4002backed Thainara	67c	270.39$181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.23	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	48cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7dd…1e23backed McCann	35c	264.11$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.44	105	29.5%31 W · 74 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed McCann	36c	250$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	88	51.1%45 W · 43 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x816e…ea89backed Thainara	65c	240$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	62cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e67…b771backed McCann	35c	240$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ef…3253backed Thainara	66c	220$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.8	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	47cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb23c…2916backed McCann	34c	220$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb7…bd7cbacked McCann	34c	210$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9e…c5f6backed Thainara	66c	210$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.4	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+94.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Thainara	67c	188.6$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.84	264	51.9%137 W · 127 L	+23.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6924…1a66backed McCann	35c	177.4$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.09	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+64.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf52b…ff3fbacked McCann	34c	175$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	-39%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a69…a466backed McCann	34c	153.77$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-3.1wins	-0.34per pick	57cpaid	-60.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a56…a644backed McCann	36c	150$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4574…ab3ebacked McCann	33c	128.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.98	287	43.9%126 W · 161 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa94e…c540backed Thainara	66c	120$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…0f11backed McCann	34c	100$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa046…00c7backed McCann	35c	100$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Thainara	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	62cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Thainara	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6301…b997backed Thainara	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.26per pick	59cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed McCann	36c	99.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed38…4f73backed Thainara	65c	95$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.25	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Thainara	67c	89$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-4.2wins	-0.16per pick	56cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed McCann	31c	87.97$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.27	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda86…8796backed Thainara	66c	85$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.9	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefb4…9653backed Thainara	68c	73.53$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.53	65	63.1%41 W · 24 L	-3.1wins	-0.05per pick	68cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b2…aa53backed Thainara	66c	65.15$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.15	20	60%12 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked McCann	34c	63.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe523…f087backed Thainara	64c	62.5$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	191	52.9%101 W · 90 L	+14.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed McCann	36c	60.61$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.82	51	33.3%17 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3916…53c7backed McCann	36c	55.56$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	38%19 W · 31 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde35…51b8backed McCann	35c	55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd471…174fbacked McCann	34c	55$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c1…d67bbacked McCann	35c	51.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.17	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bb2…4490backed McCann	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc80…2fdbbacked Thainara	67c	50$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.5	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked McCann	34c	50$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	522	52.9%276 W · 246 L	+15.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64fc…6815backed Thainara	66c	45$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.3	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.34per pick	66cpaid	+51.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde4…f179backed McCann	36c	44.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	57	42.1%24 W · 33 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdba1…e6cdbacked Thainara	69c	43.48$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.48	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked McCann	32c	40$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.8	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6801…8b48backed Thainara	66c	40$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.6	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.2wins	+0.41per pick	59cpaid	+72.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked McCann	33c	36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.88	104	39.4%41 W · 63 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6155…c295backed McCann	35c	35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x484d…4dcbbacked Thainara	65c	35$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.25	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41c…c9b3backed Thainara	66c	30.3$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.3	97	37.1%36 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54c4…471cbacked McCann	34c	30$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fb…109bbacked Thainara	66c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.2	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.10per pick	56cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bae…d5e8backed Thainara	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.7wins	+0.42per pick	58cpaid	+80%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x49ef…4e15backed Thainara	65c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	56cpaid	+85.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe13…c5ffbacked Thainara	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…3057backed Thainara	67c	29.85$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	72cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x171f…95fbbacked Thainara	69c	28.99$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.99	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-7.4wins	-0.23per pick	54cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Thainara	67c	25$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.29	339	48.1%163 W · 176 L	-16.2wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6424…16e0backed Thainara	65c	25$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.75	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+58.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa20a…d03ebacked Thainara	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb3…330fbacked Thainara	66c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.8	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.37per pick	63cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8ba…84f7backed Thainara	65c	20$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34c8…4c9fbacked Thainara	64c	15.63$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.63	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Molly McCann vs. Alexia Thainarathis page
Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Andrey PulyaevDuncan won
Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin HollandHolland won
Guram Kutateladze vs Kauê FernandesFernandes won
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla Padilla won
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos UlbergUlberg won
Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris DuncanDuncan won
Leon Edwards vs. Sean BradyBrady won
Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Felipe Dos StanosKavanagh won
Marcin Tybura vs. Mick ParkinTybura won
Nathan Fletcher vs. Caolán LoughranLoughran won
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere Wood won
Shauna Bannon vs. Puja TomarBannon won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Molly McCann vs. Alexia Thainara

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event