UFC · resolved market
Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulberg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb80d828e77a361347665ff382c995da59cc641568212588c94619b4b2fc7d389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ulbergof Blachowicz, Ulberg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Ulberg | 77c | 13,039$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Ulberg | 74c | 5,384$4,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.04 | 420 | 42.6%179 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Blachowicz | 25c | 4,842$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Blachowicz | 27c | 4,050$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.03 | 358 | 26%93 W · 265 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…d18bbacked Blachowicz | 29c | 3,433$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.55 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Blachowicz | 1c | 2,620$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Blachowicz | 30c | 2,517$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…d215backed Ulberg | 76c | 2,220$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Blachowicz | 35c | 2,101$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.32 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d52…50e6backed Blachowicz | 25c | 2,037$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Ulberg | 76c | 1,843$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.53 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Blachowicz | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ulberg | 70c | 1,536$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.78 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Blachowicz | 30c | 1,354$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Ulberg | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.52 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Blachowicz | 30c | 1,179$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.77 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ae…2324backed Blachowicz | 26c | 1,162$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad25…7678backed Blachowicz | 29c | 1,132$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.4 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Ulberg | 75c | 1,113$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Blachowicz | 24c | 1,093$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.31 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe842…27d6backed Blachowicz | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 2%2 W · 99 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Blachowicz | 35c | 954.12$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.11 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Ulberg | 69c | 893$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.73 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…c702backed Blachowicz | 27c | 845.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.44 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Ulberg | 74c | 844.12$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.47 | 185 | 60%111 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Ulberg | 73c | 790$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.89 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Ulberg | 75c | 732.57$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed Ulberg | 66c | 684.77$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.24 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Blachowicz | 37c | 670.52$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Ulberg | 70c | 653.35$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.07 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Blachowicz | 28c | 615.35$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Blachowicz | 32c | 601.61$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.52 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…92c5backed Blachowicz | 32c | 600$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.95 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b13…39d3backed Blachowicz | 25c | 600$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ulberg | 72c | 571.6$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.56 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Ulberg | 69c | 561.16$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.96 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Ulberg | 75c | 557.3$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Ulberg | 64c | 505$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Blachowicz | 28c | 500$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…3173backed Ulberg | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Blachowicz | 37c | 493.65$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Blachowicz | 30c | 487.49$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.58 | 265 | 52.1%138 W · 127 L | +23.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Ulberg | 63c | 463.63$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.55 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blachowicz | 28c | 401.36$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 192 | 30.7%59 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Blachowicz | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…a644backed Blachowicz | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Blachowicz | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Ulberg | 69c | 394.14$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.62 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6924…1a66backed Blachowicz | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Blachowicz | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dd…1e23backed Blachowicz | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 29.5%31 W · 74 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…ab3ebacked Blachowicz | 33c | 374$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.46 | 287 | 43.9%126 W · 161 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Ulberg | 70c | 355.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…a68cbacked Blachowicz | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Blachowicz | 30c | 332.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 540 | 56.7%306 W · 234 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf8…7f09backed Blachowicz | 26c | 324.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ulberg | 70c | 315.49$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Blachowicz | 34c | 314.12$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 378 | 54.8%207 W · 171 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf848…03abbacked Blachowicz | 38c | 306.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Blachowicz | 27c | 304.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Blachowicz | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blachowicz | 31c | 287.33$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 210 | 31.9%67 W · 143 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…b4f5backed Blachowicz | 26c | 287.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Blachowicz | 27c | 273.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b89…693dbacked Ulberg | 76c | 263.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Blachowicz | 26c | 259.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Blachowicz | 26c | 233.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…2257backed Ulberg | 73c | 231.89$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Ulberg | 74c | 222$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Blachowicz | 16c | 218.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Ulberg | 70c | 217.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Blachowicz | 40c | 211.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Blachowicz | 30c | 201$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b39…80c3backed Ulberg | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Blachowicz | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Ulberg | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Blachowicz | 26c | 194.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…4628backed Blachowicz | 43c | 185.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…896abacked Ulberg | 71c | 183.1$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Blachowicz | 27c | 181.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Ulberg | 67c | 179.46$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.46 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked Blachowicz | 34c | 179.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df1…e7a9backed Blachowicz | 34c | 177.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Blachowicz | 26c | 163$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca86…4002backed Blachowicz | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x465e…bf90backed Blachowicz | 34c | 147.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Ulberg | 65c | 145.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3916…53c7backed Blachowicz | 26c | 130.77$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Blachowicz | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…30b5backed Blachowicz | 31c | 127.19$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 283 | 33.2%94 W · 189 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Blachowicz | 36c | 121.87$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.87 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Blachowicz | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4001…8cffbacked Blachowicz | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Ulberg | 67c | 114.17$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…3055backed Blachowicz | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…c9b3backed Blachowicz | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…41b7backed Blachowicz | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Blachowicz | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65e…1502backed Blachowicz | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Ulberg | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jan Blachowicz vs. Carlos Ulbergthis page
- Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Andrey PulyaevDuncan won
- Gunnar Nelson vs. Kevin HollandHolland won
- Guram Kutateladze vs Kauê FernandesFernandes won
- Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla Padilla won
- Jordan Vucenic vs. Chris DuncanDuncan won
- Leon Edwards vs. Sean BradyBrady won
- Lone'er Kavanagh vs. Felipe Dos StanosKavanagh won
- Marcin Tybura vs. Mick ParkinTybura won
- Molly McCann vs. Alexia ThainaraThainara won
- Nathan Fletcher vs. Caolán LoughranLoughran won
- Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan Charriere Wood won
- Shauna Bannon vs. Puja TomarBannon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.