Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3cce9907c9cf32d35a376fbb581d97beba2e2cea485bce1840e23d0af42f9c6

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 8, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,838,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,183,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,838,083 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6b7a…3644backed Yes	10c	267,363$25,565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,564.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	7c	78,646$5,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,362.74	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf595…8153backed Yes	11c	53,615$6,074 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,074.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	8c	43,606$3,528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,527.87	166	12.7%21 W · 145 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c92…1322backed Yes	11c	32,987$3,585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,585.04	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	14c	27,519$3,939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,939.17	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21f9…ed12backed Yes	5c	19,390$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.79	110	13.6%15 W · 95 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes	8c	13,469$1,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,036.7	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+103.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	12,407$1,610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,610.32	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	13c	11,500$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,511.98	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	9c	11,319$1,029 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.38	117	38.5%45 W · 72 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes	7c	10,639$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.78	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	16c	10,609$1,695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,694.58	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x056d…b817backed Yes	13c	10,271$1,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,299.06	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa6d…3435backed Yes	11c	10,231$1,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,101.79	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Yes	13c	10,211$1,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.1	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	-2.6wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	10c	9,480$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.21	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes	15c	8,700$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321.46	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	13c	8,136$1,063 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,062.73	170	37.6%64 W · 106 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed Yes	9c	7,829$712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.42	62	25.8%16 W · 46 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f68…62abbacked Yes	7c	7,800$551 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550.55	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-5.6wins	-0.25per pick	44cpaid	-68.2%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x58bb…72d9backed Yes	12c	7,644$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	7c	7,612$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.61	88	21.6%19 W · 69 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	16c	7,273$1,189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,189.19	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…23dfbacked Yes	7c	7,259$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.07	27	11.1%3 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…d8aebacked Yes	7c	6,990$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.38	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.29per pick	11cpaid	+685%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe810…8fc5backed Yes	15c	6,968$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,039.89	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	42cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x142f…0f85backed Yes	4c	6,924$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc360…d7a2backed Yes	7c	6,869$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.35	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc4…4415backed Yes	8c	6,111$493 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb5f…0848backed Yes	6c	5,769$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.14	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	32cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…3b8bbacked Yes	6c	5,550$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.13	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-4.3wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b9a…a56fbacked Yes	13c	5,410$715 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$715.47	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes	6c	5,172$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.1	23	30.4%7 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-40.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes	6c	5,148$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.26	146	32.2%47 W · 99 L	-8.6wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-35%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	1c	5,130$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.92	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…e131backed Yes	10c	5,000$525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$524.98	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…d044backed Yes	3c	4,223$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.55	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59c7…9cc4backed Yes	9c	4,109$361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.73	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75f…edafbacked Yes	10c	4,017$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.99	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8236…c14dbacked Yes	9c	3,883$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.79	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	3,702$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.51	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0c0…4633backed Yes	11c	3,684$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…42e4backed Yes	15c	3,556$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$522.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes	2c	3,465$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.87	31	19.4%6 W · 25 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+447.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb49…1faabacked Yes	12c	3,312$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.86	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d05…d691backed Yes	8c	3,151$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf795…b297backed Yes	17c	3,150$528 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ad…8ac8backed Yes	11c	3,141$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.87	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe157…08adbacked Yes	10c	3,102$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e4e…6ebabacked Yes	7c	3,041$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe16d…8734backed Yes	3c	2,858$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes	11c	2,600$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.95	192	37.5%72 W · 120 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes	13c	2,600$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326.21	56	33.9%19 W · 37 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0678…9fd0backed Yes	16c	2,567$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+1,772.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d07…8393backed Yes	1c	2,500$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	5	0%0 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9623…0ae3backed Yes	7c	2,463$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd17c…d635backed Yes	1c	2,444$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf69a…7b0abacked Yes	6c	2,430$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes	10c	2,308$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.22	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e0…b2edbacked Yes	4c	2,253$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f7b…aff4backed Yes	6c	2,245$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.45	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	5cpaid	+1,350.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e8…c939backed Yes	5c	2,240$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.16	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+299.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x47bf…b84fbacked Yes	6c	2,231$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.46	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x892e…4e89backed Yes	5c	2,089$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe10e…61d8backed Yes	5c	2,083$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	10cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30a1…cb4dbacked Yes	8c	2,033$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b76…6623backed Yes	6c	2,005$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7ab…d48dbacked Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe77e…bb3dbacked Yes	8c	2,000$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.13	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ec…4612backed Yes	6c	1,965$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.84	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-42%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4ab…22c8backed Yes	5c	1,933$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	5c	1,871$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.06	361	4.4%16 W · 345 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x270a…7b78backed Yes	15c	1,870$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.79	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+2.9wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+40.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaf5…156cbacked Yes	6c	1,800$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc8…19d4backed Yes	6c	1,786$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6acc…a608backed Yes	6c	1,737$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7525…5d8ebacked Yes	8c	1,696$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes	15c	1,690$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes	14c	1,600$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.61	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	25cpaid	-87%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ed4…a52abacked Yes	6c	1,594$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.22	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb672…4649backed Yes	13c	1,592$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a3…a0aabacked Yes	5c	1,573$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+289%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb29b…c61cbacked Yes	6c	1,570$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc894…b9f6backed Yes	8c	1,557$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.42	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d2…f302backed Yes	5c	1,554$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes	7c	1,545$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.98	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	+816.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcca8…99bcbacked Yes	14c	1,535$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80f0…d070backed Yes	8c	1,526$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.47	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.14per pick	27cpaid	-64.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3541…31e2backed Yes	4c	1,516$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes	5c	1,506$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.93	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc3c…9b67backed Yes	2c	1,505$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+843.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbf…f2f8backed Yes	14c	1,468$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x675e…11a8backed Yes	7c	1,467$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3033…f1b9backed Yes	7c	1,458$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c73…b7eebacked Yes	7c	1,425$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7186…7770backed Yes	8c	1,406$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0a…e004backed Yes	4c	1,402$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf50…eb52backed Yes	4c	1,387$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x948c…b456backed Yes	7c	1,376$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.94	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?this page
Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?No won
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?No won
Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?No won
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?No won
Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?No won
Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?No won
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?No won
Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?No won
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?No won
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?No won
Will Kurt Koch be the next pope?No won
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No won
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?No won
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?No won
Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?No won
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?No won
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?No won
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No won
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?No won
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?No won
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?Yes won
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No won
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?No won
Will another person be the next Pope?No won
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event