World Politics · resolved market
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14197a2979391a7bb1e6918582334640f309c22c7718f824c9fa1e149302662f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,415,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $872,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,415,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2b…b40cbacked No | 0c | 55,473$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 35,829$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,333.49 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6b…68eebacked No | 0c | 31,628$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602f…20e1backed Yes | 1c | 28,766$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,549.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +2,583.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 23,925$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,733.4 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 2c | 22,373$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,935.07 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +365.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…9d19backed Yes | 1c | 21,223$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,973.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +1,386.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbef6…f2f9backed Yes | 2c | 20,794$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,472.13 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +647.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 1c | 19,880$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,587.36 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,849$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,768.12 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 2c | 17,316$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,991.9 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0931…2edebacked Yes | 1c | 16,665$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,416.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3,246.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d3…a6c6backed Yes | 1c | 13,500$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,426.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +2,905.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,947.91 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…ec0cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,764$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,504.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,040%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…6725backed Yes | 3c | 10,578$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,297.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,677.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 0c | 10,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…a8dbbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,919.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +1,107.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 1c | 9,310$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250.6 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +816.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae3…5228backed Yes | 3c | 8,546$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,250.08 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +259.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 1c | 8,478$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,432.26 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +611.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 3c | 8,113$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,901.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +480.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 21c | 8,097$1,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.63 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b74…778cbacked Yes | 1c | 7,695$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,645.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +7,599.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 2c | 7,500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,350.49 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Yes | 1c | 7,491$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,396.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +3,884.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…f27fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,169$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,972.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,047.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de8…76babacked Yes | 2c | 5,877$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,757.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +1,535.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 2c | 5,716$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.52 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c2…73dbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,580$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +1,540.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 76c | 5,519$4,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.11 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e8…0819backed Yes | 3c | 5,302$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,164.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +454.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f2…caf1backed Yes | 2c | 5,224$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,123.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +553%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 2c | 5,217$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.99 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +69%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…f5b7backed Yes | 0c | 5,116$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,091.31 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +622.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,109$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,056.79 | 1,437 | 10.2%147 W · 1,290 L | -4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…e424backed Yes | 0c | 5,076$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,051.59 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +1,129.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…4841backed Yes | 2c | 5,041$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +1,045.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.98 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +933.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3c…1923backed Yes | 2c | 4,822$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,363.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 4,805$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,739.15 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 1c | 4,681$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,630.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +1,772.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…b6bebacked Yes | 1c | 4,668$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,618.11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +1,456%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…9ca8backed Yes | 2c | 4,571$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,492.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +5,708.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12c…dbf2backed Yes | 2c | 4,518$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.39 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +402%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 4,466$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.88 | 102 | 9.8%10 W · 92 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +116%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Yes | 2c | 4,436$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +665.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd639…6b24backed Yes | 2c | 4,256$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,156.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 2cpaid | +2,049.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…a834backed Yes | 1c | 4,185$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,142.92 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +285.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes | 1c | 4,139$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,112.39 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…80fbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,048$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,991.57 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +785.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf759…0221backed Yes | 1c | 3,875$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,847.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2,293.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 1c | 3,806$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,752.98 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +165%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…a51abacked Yes | 1c | 3,678$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,641.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +2,046.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1494…bf28backed Yes | 1c | 3,635$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,612.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +16,421.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…cdb3backed Yes | 1c | 3,589$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,568.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +16,886.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e0…54d7backed Yes | 1c | 3,554$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,516.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +9,285%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c83…21e9backed Yes | 1c | 3,500$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +1,983.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…f1f9backed Yes | 1c | 3,489$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +562.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…63aabacked Yes | 1c | 3,464$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,442.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +3,095%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,305$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1,808.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd187…399cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,258$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +5,329.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 1c | 3,193$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,157.52 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29f…db90backed Yes | 3c | 3,170$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.97per pick | 3cpaid | +3,697.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.59 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +2,757.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…2e74backed Yes | 1c | 2,725$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,684.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +2,170.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 1c | 2,722$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,689.81 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +400.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 1c | 2,717$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.84 | 113 | 1.8%2 W · 111 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…e78dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,669$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.37 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +567.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c4…d3e3backed Yes | 2c | 2,636$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +1,292.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c10…6747backed Yes | 2c | 2,615$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +2,079.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…eb20backed Yes | 2c | 2,567$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1,279.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b8…b2b5backed Yes | 2c | 2,510$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +1,510.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff2…ba22backed Yes | 2c | 2,481$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 5cpaid | +2,452.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…5660backed Yes | 1c | 2,409$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,389.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +3,915.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…fbccbacked Yes | 1c | 2,323$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +1,448.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…afe7backed Yes | 1c | 2,204$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +1,426.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3be8…f1a8backed Yes | 2c | 2,171$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +4,157.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…82a9backed Yes | 1c | 2,143$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,112.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +7,042.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +574.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…5e7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,944$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +1,049.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 2c | 1,944$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.63 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 1c | 1,942$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.54 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +340%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 12c | 1,934$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.82 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 8cpaid | +854.8%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x59a3…a0aabacked Yes | 2c | 1,925$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +289%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 1c | 1,884$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +886%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 2c | 1,860$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.29 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +299.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…dcc5backed Yes | 1c | 1,818$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +4,545.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 2c | 1,792$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.56 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +104%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…c771backed Yes | 1c | 1,673$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +1,759.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7caa…0a00backed Yes | 2c | 1,377$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +1,047.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…b1c6backed Yes | 2c | 1,369$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +2,181.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb017…7b1abacked Yes | 2c | 1,332$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,311.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.98per pick | 2cpaid | +6,559.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…a369backed Yes | 2c | 1,272$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +748.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57d…b96dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,262$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +4,105.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6be3…b164backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.99per pick | 1cpaid | +8,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…26e8backed Yes | 2c | 1,242$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +375.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…e519backed Yes | 2c | 1,234$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,210.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +1,223.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?this page
- Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?No won
- Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?No won
- Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?No won
- Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?No won
- Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?No won
- Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?No won
- Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?No won
- Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?No won
- Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?No won
- Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?No won
- Will Kurt Koch be the next pope?No won
- Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No won
- Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?No won
- Will Mario Grech be the next pope?No won
- Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?No won
- Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?No won
- Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?No won
- Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?No won
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No won
- Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?No won
- Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?No won
- Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No won
- Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?No won
- Will another person be the next Pope?No won
- Will no new pope be elected in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.