World Politics · resolved market
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13ed1b2e0a0f4276534a9c0e3343987aa244d94cb1b60a1c3d6ac1774cec9c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,566,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,566,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 868 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 54,022$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.77 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…b17bbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 28,615$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.26 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe28d…06dcbacked Yes | 1c | 27,954$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 1c | 22,730$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…59dfbacked Yes | 1c | 20,037$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 19,622$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 1c | 18,304$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.33 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +611.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…a300backed Yes | 2c | 16,512$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…f1f9backed Yes | 1c | 15,214$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +562.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…2cd7backed Yes | 1c | 14,884$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 1c | 14,834$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.38 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 13,445$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 1c | 13,344$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.92 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | +365.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…c4e4backed Yes | 1c | 9,093$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 0c | 8,709$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 113 | 1.8%2 W · 111 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,225$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 8,000$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c1…e861backed Yes | 1c | 7,351$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…c89cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,112$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…e424backed Yes | 1c | 6,011$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +1,129.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…f97bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,842$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 1c | 5,200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes | 1c | 5,178$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…39b9backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 11cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…b088backed Yes | 1c | 4,916$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 4,510$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f43…805ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,507$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…c381backed Yes | 1c | 4,495$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Yes | 1c | 4,299$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 4,286$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa258…2055backed Yes | 1c | 3,973$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…5ce1backed Yes | 0c | 3,539$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa768…38dabacked Yes | 1c | 3,398$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abb…847bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,199$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,111$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…f001backed Yes | 2c | 3,089$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 1c | 2,750$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a76…de13backed Yes | 1c | 2,501$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65a5…f5b7backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +622.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab2…ed50backed Yes | 1c | 2,428$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0c…6b64backed Yes | 1c | 2,371$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…d1d5backed Yes | 1c | 2,361$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +150.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 2,313$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4075…9cf9backed Yes | 1c | 2,277$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…7b87backed Yes | 1c | 2,258$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…bdf0backed Yes | 1c | 2,246$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad4…3d2abacked Yes | 1c | 2,209$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…d7febacked Yes | 1c | 2,164$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x933b…ba50backed Yes | 1c | 2,132$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,116$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c1…fa46backed Yes | 1c | 2,075$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 1c | 2,070$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +400.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…5953backed Yes | 1c | 2,066$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b55…cde3backed Yes | 6c | 2,063$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…cfcdbacked Yes | 1c | 2,044$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…d9c9backed Yes | 1c | 2,027$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +574.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…63d3backed Yes | 1c | 1,912$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +154.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…37c5backed Yes | 1c | 1,863$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6197…5857backed Yes | 1c | 1,823$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372e…203cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,738$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…5d02backed Yes | 1c | 1,706$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f31…cd6fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,635$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4a…c1e5backed Yes | 1c | 1,625$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…26e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,613$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +375.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bb…f33cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,594$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d05abacked Yes | 1c | 1,566$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,543$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9799backed Yes | 7c | 1,522$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8c…a9b9backed Yes | 7c | 1,521$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…7fc1backed Yes | 7c | 1,515$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…590dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,510$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4229…1bddbacked Yes | 7c | 1,505$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48db…e014backed Yes | 1c | 1,503$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42b…48c8backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…ac7abacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf4…658dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…9863backed Yes | 7c | 1,479$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b40…52d3backed Yes | 7c | 1,458$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf023…5876backed Yes | 7c | 1,455$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abc…0144backed Yes | 7c | 1,454$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…765fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,451$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…e9aabacked Yes | 7c | 1,451$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…f2bcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,448$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d8…1461backed Yes | 1c | 1,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +238.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…d3c2backed Yes | 1c | 1,444$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…1cadbacked Yes | 7c | 1,444$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…2d8cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,442$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb3…6611backed Yes | 7c | 1,441$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9335…bde1backed Yes | 7c | 1,439$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…7d7bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,435$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0446…9ddfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,434$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…2e36backed Yes | 7c | 1,433$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…7f81backed Yes | 7c | 1,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705a…18a1backed Yes | 7c | 1,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…59a6backed Yes | 7c | 1,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f044backed Yes | 7c | 1,431$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?this page
- Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?No won
- Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?No won
- Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?No won
- Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?No won
- Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?No won
- Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?No won
- Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?No won
- Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?No won
- Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?No won
- Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?No won
- Will Kurt Koch be the next pope?No won
- Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No won
- Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?No won
- Will Mario Grech be the next pope?No won
- Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?No won
- Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?No won
- Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?No won
- Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?No won
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No won
- Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?No won
- Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?No won
- Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?Yes won
- Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No won
- Will another person be the next Pope?No won
- Will no new pope be elected in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.