Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4bb6de97e799c4202ab568e696667519bc9877316367da60c852ab6b29e826b1

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 8, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,361,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $797,515

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,361,752 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8ec8…5709backed Yes	12c	122,302$14,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,212.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Yes	11c	44,289$4,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,902.82	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	5c	43,116$2,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,354.32	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba8a…d9eabacked Yes	14c	31,205$4,509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,509.28	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes	9c	27,098$2,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,509.55	166	12.7%21 W · 145 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7853…36d8backed Yes	13c	23,589$2,991 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,990.67	278	28.1%78 W · 200 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d61…12f6backed Yes	11c	22,730$2,434 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,433.9	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…c806backed Yes	12c	21,146$2,586 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,586.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a7…6db4backed Yes	12c	20,362$2,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,486.71	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-68%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes	11c	19,557$2,119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,118.54	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7136…b35abacked Yes	11c	19,425$2,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,230.79	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	17cpaid	+272.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c3c…74b8backed Yes	11c	18,508$2,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,094.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	11c	18,091$1,945 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,944.51	563	14.6%82 W · 481 L	-39.3wins	-0.07per pick	22cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc460…80c0backed Yes	15c	15,161$2,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,224.62	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…b243backed Yes	3c	14,033$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.78	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd54…fc05backed Yes	13c	11,765$1,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,572.17	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83ca…5168backed Yes	12c	11,063$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,313.77	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7012…4035backed Yes	11c	10,000$1,120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,120	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-2.0wins	-0.15per pick	46cpaid	-47.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Yes	13c	8,518$1,084 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,083.83	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	11c	8,156$921 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$921.34	100	37%37 W · 63 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+29.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf919…c511backed Yes	13c	7,940$998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$997.77	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf699…c666backed Yes	9c	7,475$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$682.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39f2…146ebacked Yes	11c	7,439$843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$843.16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	11c	7,320$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$778.82	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e14…f399backed Yes	11c	6,864$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9a…a56fbacked Yes	12c	6,807$786 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$786	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1f2…caf1backed Yes	13c	6,515$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.66	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+553%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2ba…ce36backed Yes	12c	6,385$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	11c	6,145$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$656.5	160	29.4%47 W · 113 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93d6…5a83backed Yes	11c	5,822$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b1d…fe6dbacked Yes	10c	5,148$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Yes	13c	5,000$635 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$634.95	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+3.3wins	+0.17per pick	28cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	5,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes	11c	4,587$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	0c	4,397$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2c…b96cbacked Yes	8c	4,342$343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.81	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…80fbbacked Yes	11c	4,300$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$463	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+785.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	1c	4,184$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.47	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0deb…12c9backed Yes	12c	4,105$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.54	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes	11c	4,100$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.97	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.12per pick	17cpaid	+480.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x305d…54afbacked Yes	12c	4,080$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.76	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb6…8e97backed Yes	11c	4,000$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$423.74	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Yes	12c	4,000$471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470.69	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-5.6wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6db…a8cdbacked Yes	9c	3,755$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.89	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+519.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe370…d80abacked Yes	0c	3,645$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6f…8afbbacked Yes	11c	3,563$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.61	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12c…dbf2backed Yes	11c	3,517$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	7cpaid	+402%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	3,193$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.98	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8002…8b6cbacked Yes	11c	3,000$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.93	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef2…f473backed Yes	3c	2,856$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.3	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddb…c363backed Yes	10c	2,750$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.85	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b7e…79e5backed Yes	11c	2,629$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.13per pick	27cpaid	-12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa198…7244backed Yes	6c	2,476$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5943…4ff9backed Yes	4c	2,453$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x184f…0961backed Yes	9c	2,356$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.74	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ab…22c8backed Yes	4c	2,242$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0462…2af4backed Yes	10c	2,241$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.49	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4f…d932backed Yes	2c	2,175$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes	9c	2,169$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.56	361	4.4%16 W · 345 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes	8c	2,156$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.6	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f6c…1249backed Yes	13c	2,111$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfd6d…f860backed Yes	10c	2,111$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.94	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…5dbcbacked Yes	10c	2,085$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02d3…2136backed Yes	14c	2,080$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	4cpaid	+365.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc66…2206backed Yes	10c	2,048$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.07per pick	18cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd411…660fbacked Yes	11c	2,034$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb668…8055backed Yes	13c	2,012$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.57	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ef…9ff4backed Yes	12c	2,001$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.19	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-53%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49fd…0198backed Yes	10c	2,000$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes	11c	2,000$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.62	48	25%12 W · 36 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+108.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes	13c	1,983$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…4beabacked Yes	5c	1,982$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf76e…9629backed Yes	3c	1,954$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Yes	10c	1,902$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.1	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd2b…8e50backed Yes	3c	1,902$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.98	36	36.1%13 W · 23 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ea…1588backed Yes	13c	1,900$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes	12c	1,880$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.41	61	31.1%19 W · 42 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3832…35e1backed Yes	9c	1,871$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+84.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0738…da52backed Yes	1c	1,860$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c40…66a4backed Yes	11c	1,851$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf1c…90f4backed Yes	11c	1,845$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39e6…6e8dbacked Yes	14c	1,775$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.87	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf502…26e8backed Yes	6c	1,770$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	5cpaid	+375.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a7d…2f84backed Yes	11c	1,715$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.7	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x892e…4e89backed Yes	6c	1,659$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c8…4853backed Yes	13c	1,642$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.39	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes	5c	1,591$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.85	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4257…ce3cbacked Yes	4c	1,578$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd300…ae22backed Yes	5c	1,578$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e23…eed9backed Yes	13c	1,496$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes	8c	1,492$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.83	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	+4.0wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+75%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3ea…c851backed Yes	13c	1,461$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes	8c	1,454$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.8	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0a…e004backed Yes	4c	1,428$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54a…c622backed Yes	3c	1,410$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66f2…a943backed Yes	11c	1,378$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd1e…47c2backed Yes	14c	1,373$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe58…ee71backed Yes	7c	1,357$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	3c	1,352$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.57	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf81f…a1e9backed Yes	13c	1,338$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?this page
Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?No won
Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?No won
Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?No won
Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?No won
Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?No won
Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?No won
Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?No won
Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?No won
Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?No won
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?No won
Will Kurt Koch be the next pope?No won
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No won
Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?No won
Will Mario Grech be the next pope?No won
Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?No won
Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?No won
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?No won
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No won
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?No won
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?No won
Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?Yes won
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No won
Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?No won
Will another person be the next Pope?No won
Will no new pope be elected in 2025?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event