World Politics · resolved market
Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e6597f4cb7216d962f60555fc1c37b06bc5fed9ecda9f920e2ed70034169684
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,052,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $426,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,052,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed9e…0d91backed Yes | 4c | 47,575$1,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 1c | 47,000$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.94 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +150.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccf…6bcfbacked Yes | 1c | 43,510$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 35,813$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.72 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e22…3061backed Yes | 1c | 35,608$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 3cpaid | +375.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 31,256$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.24 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb2…b1dcbacked Yes | 1c | 14,785$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a3…b088backed Yes | 1c | 14,108$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.66 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 12,586$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…2465backed Yes | 1c | 12,276$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 1c | 12,190$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +611.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 1c | 10,857$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 101 | 8.9%9 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf5…156cbacked Yes | 2c | 10,100$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…f1f9backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +562.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…7828backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,933$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…58ffbacked Yes | 2c | 9,750$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a49…498fbacked Yes | 2c | 8,573$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 7,794$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 361 | 4.4%16 W · 345 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 1c | 7,698$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 113 | 1.8%2 W · 111 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…d079backed Yes | 2c | 7,610$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f48…6a49backed Yes | 1c | 7,193$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d7…91f8backed Yes | 1c | 7,080$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144c…e424backed Yes | 1c | 6,950$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +1,129.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ab…1fd2backed Yes | 1c | 6,736$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…7234backed Yes | 1c | 6,685$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…ae38backed Yes | 2c | 6,321$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1002…bdf0backed Yes | 2c | 6,312$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb384…09e0backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…72b0backed Yes | 1c | 5,990$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…4dedbacked Yes | 2c | 5,879$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…fa8cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,771$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc72a…1e79backed Yes | 1c | 5,674$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5260…fd71backed Yes | 0c | 5,604$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…ed75backed Yes | 1c | 5,198$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…eabbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,590$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1175…9d7dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,554$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41de…b9bbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,531$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 4,479$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.06 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…1b4dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,453$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…a253backed Yes | 1c | 4,380$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7e…c09cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,314$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.38 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0450…e0ddbacked Yes | 1c | 4,231$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…f397backed Yes | 2c | 4,201$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d06…addabacked Yes | 6c | 4,054$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e91…d445backed Yes | 1c | 4,051$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f08…0521backed Yes | 1c | 3,875$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,809$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa7…8ea1backed Yes | 1c | 3,708$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +447.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…191cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,667$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 6cpaid | +303.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…2354backed Yes | 1c | 3,635$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…4433backed Yes | 1c | 3,631$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +131.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Yes | 1c | 3,562$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +400.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…3038backed Yes | 1c | 3,559$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa050…3e54backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…3c8dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,269$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…114dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,254$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…52c0backed Yes | 2c | 3,228$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2571…5d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,111$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…d7febacked Yes | 2c | 3,095$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…a3e3backed Yes | 1c | 3,066$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…c939backed Yes | 1c | 3,019$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +299.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…d2ccbacked Yes | 2c | 3,004$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…bf53backed Yes | 1c | 2,960$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…2cdfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,888$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4689…ca52backed Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f0…b6bebacked Yes | 2c | 2,566$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 2cpaid | +1,456%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +933.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8f…4c34backed Yes | 1c | 2,498$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1a…7f73backed Yes | 1c | 2,486$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 3c | 2,433$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…01e6backed Yes | 1c | 2,410$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941b…d05abacked Yes | 2c | 2,350$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…36a8backed Yes | 1c | 2,330$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…d05abacked Yes | 1c | 2,201$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Yes | 1c | 2,137$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f0e4backed Yes | 1c | 2,124$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…7f81backed Yes | 1c | 2,110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5169…1118backed Yes | 1c | 2,103$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…81c7backed Yes | 2c | 2,072$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d26…ec32backed Yes | 1c | 2,026$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…59dfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,009$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…04c9backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0796…e45bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc7…302dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,991$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1,808.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…5833backed Yes | 1c | 1,980$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +468.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecce…aac6backed Yes | 1c | 1,937$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…3eccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…ddbabacked Yes | 1c | 1,767$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fc…aab9backed Yes | 1c | 1,718$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…3723backed Yes | 1c | 1,710$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa268…3b36backed Yes | 1c | 1,684$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…1c4dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,680$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,655$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…20cdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,642$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…0743backed Yes | 2c | 1,627$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d8…1461backed Yes | 1c | 1,576$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 5cpaid | +238.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…da6cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,494$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?this page
- Will Anders Arborelius be the next pope?No won
- Will Angelo Scola be the next pope?No won
- Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope?No won
- Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope?No won
- Will Fernando Filoni be the next pope?No won
- Will Francis Arinze be the next pope?No won
- Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope?No won
- Will Jean-Claude Hollerich be the next pope?No won
- Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?No won
- Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?No won
- Will Kurt Koch be the next pope?No won
- Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No won
- Will Malcolm Ranjith be the next pope?No won
- Will Mario Grech be the next pope?No won
- Will Mark Ouellet be the next pope?No won
- Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?No won
- Will Peter Turkson be the next pope?No won
- Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?No won
- Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?No won
- Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?No won
- Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?Yes won
- Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?No won
- Will Wim Eijk be the next pope?No won
- Will another person be the next Pope?No won
- Will no new pope be elected in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.