TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

World Championships: Norway vs. Denmark

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Norwayof Norway, Denmark
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,260
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,663

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,260 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x481d…9098backed Norway51c12,433$6,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,097.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda2e…8904backed Denmark51c3,276$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6671353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cea…03d4backed Denmark46c2,596$1,206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,205.552642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Norway71c2,114$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.2327044.4%120 W · 150 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…f8d8backed Denmark50c2,008$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Denmark33c1,810$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9920144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebd5…094cbacked Norway52c1,689$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$813.8930845.8%141 W · 167 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Denmark36c1,615$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.363920.5%8 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Denmark43c1,315$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.4310066%66 W · 34 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85ae…5399backed Denmark50c1,095$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Denmark29c1,063$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.078150.6%41 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcce7…6b90backed Denmark49c1,022$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf960…fcbfbacked Norway70c993.16$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.23875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf34a…710cbacked Denmark46c980.22$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.2250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed Denmark51c956.86$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48810456.7%59 W · 45 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Denmark29c950.25$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.57728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-51.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Norway49c853.58$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.33450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Denmark41c786.07$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6625345.5%115 W · 138 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa583…b44bbacked Norway65c770$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c8…a9ffbacked Denmark51c760.78$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed Norway60c706.99$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.231457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Norway70c649.96$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.997533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Denmark46c585.66$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.872661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Denmark46c466.28$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2851452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c0…17abbacked Norway71c394.8$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15c5…4692backed Denmark35c378.28$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9927947.3%132 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Denmark51c371.46$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Denmark32c363.8$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.694438.6%17 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Denmark51c333$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.831827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Denmark51c333$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.831040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48cb…1169backed Denmark32c316.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Norway50c310.06$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1320059.5%119 W · 81 L+19.6wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcdf8…1fa4backed Norway69c299.98$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.992360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Denmark46c298.29$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.042147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x822b…61fdbacked Norway55c290$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Denmark40c281.92$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5514347.6%68 W · 75 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8ee…5506backed Denmark30c265.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Denmark30c263.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806437.5%24 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb4b…9f92backed Norway51c260.53$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.662969%20 W · 9 L+6.8wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+71.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa95c…1b63backed Denmark45c222.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Denmark50c201.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Denmark19c196.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.511,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Norway72c194.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.527038.6%27 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5c2…4933backed Denmark30c192.02$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.61616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-69%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Denmark29c189.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.868043.8%35 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Denmark43c185.16$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.789935.4%35 W · 64 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Norway69c182.93$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.263327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Denmark34c172.06$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.244628.3%13 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Denmark31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504443.2%19 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Denmark50c149.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7533745.7%154 W · 183 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92db…68d2backed Denmark31c145.44$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-8.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9abb…3f96backed Norway71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.859562.1%59 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cd7…db07backed Norway72c139.79$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7924259.1%143 W · 99 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Norway71c138.75$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.241070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+66.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Norway71c134.86$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…023fbacked Norway59c126.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked Denmark51c119.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.035747.4%27 W · 30 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Denmark29c110$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.93551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe123…b4ffbacked Norway70c107.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.44875%6 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcaa0…5590backed Norway65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d1…f8c0backed Norway63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372060%12 W · 8 L+4.8wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+151%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8e5d…b676backed Norway71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.291020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-72%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Norway51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4913749.6%68 W · 69 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Norway69c99.98$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9945447.8%217 W · 237 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Norway66c98.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.5914551%74 W · 71 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Norway68c98.15$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4110464.4%67 W · 37 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Norway67c91.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.053063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7af9…e4ebbacked Norway50c80$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89c5…ce1bbacked Norway59c75.77$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.77771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Norway68c65.51$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9617553.1%93 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Denmark24c64.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3132353.9%174 W · 149 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Denmark31c62.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Norway59c61.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2392049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8917…be6fbacked Norway66c60.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.62887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick68cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4c4…e822backed Denmark46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x115e…5019backed Norway70c59.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb94…93c0backed Norway69c58.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2d7…0dedbacked Norway69c56.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Norway71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.342277.3%17 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick74cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b77…95abbacked Norway71c52.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Denmark31c52.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.256847.1%32 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Denmark30c51.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.352536%9 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Norway68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167652.6%40 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked Norway71c49.3$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.32100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4674…4727backed Norway67c47.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Norway69c46.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4445651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f57…c3acbacked Norway65c46.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…c3b0backed Norway65c46.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8e…6461backed Norway65c46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.1580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2c5…6483backed Norway67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.781080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Denmark42c43.94$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6360741%249 W · 358 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac6…c90bbacked Norway57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+54.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfed5…ee90backed Norway71c42.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.282100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Denmark31c38.75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122040%8 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f3e…c5b5backed Norway65c38.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a54…e581backed Norway79c37.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Denmark55c36.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035553%188 W · 167 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Norway54c35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.131448.7%153 W · 161 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked Norway57c34.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.05944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Denmark36c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85558.2%32 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.