UFC · resolved market
Garcia vs. Onama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a2d6947a1ad7d37cca7a95c41a7dc06989a9f645770cc303be345085fa7435a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Garciaof Garcia, Onama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Garcia | 55c | 20,744$11,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,362.14 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Onama | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.96 | 352 | 53.1%187 W · 165 L | +27.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Onama | 45c | 19,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.98 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdecc…9d36backed Onama | 46c | 14,445$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600.19 | 169 | 51.5%87 W · 82 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Garcia | 55c | 11,000$6,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,897.14 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Garcia | 55c | 10,655$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,828.31 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…f31fbacked Garcia | 57c | 9,990$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,341.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Onama | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Garcia | 57c | 4,325$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.25 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -10.5wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Onama | 45c | 4,049$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.05 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Garcia | 54c | 3,988$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,834.47 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Garcia | 55c | 3,760$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.05 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…4229backed Garcia | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -56%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Onama | 44c | 3,085$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.23 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…834dbacked Onama | 45c | 2,920$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Garcia | 56c | 2,177$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -7.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Garcia | 55c | 1,802$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.95 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Onama | 44c | 1,745$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.41 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Onama | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.99 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Onama | 44c | 1,636$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.52 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Onama | 45c | 1,600$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.08 | 539 | 56.6%305 W · 234 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Onama | 43c | 1,560$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.17 | 267 | 43.8%117 W · 150 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Onama | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…fa48backed Onama | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Garcia | 58c | 1,469$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.48 | 298 | 48.7%145 W · 153 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae0…cf6abacked Onama | 44c | 1,374$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Onama | 45c | 1,348$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.28 | 92 | 28.3%26 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Onama | 4c | 1,270$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…2b11backed Garcia | 55c | 1,264$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.64 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Onama | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.97 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Onama | 46c | 1,111$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.82 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae1…fed4backed Garcia | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Garcia | 55c | 1,079$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.3 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Onama | 43c | 1,074$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.82 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Garcia | 53c | 1,065$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Onama | 46c | 1,016$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…691abacked Garcia | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Garcia | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Onama | 46c | 977$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.42 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Garcia | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 399 | 59.6%238 W · 161 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Garcia | 56c | 900$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…341bbacked Garcia | 55c | 872.65$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.69 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Garcia | 54c | 814.81$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465b…41c3backed Onama | 46c | 809.56$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Garcia | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 325 | 45.2%147 W · 178 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Onama | 15c | 766.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Onama | 41c | 700.24$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.84 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…a5b1backed Onama | 44c | 598.95$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.54 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Onama | 44c | 550.42$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Onama | 20c | 528$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…64dabacked Garcia | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc31a…174ebacked Garcia | 55c | 515$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.55 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Garcia | 56c | 500$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…6598backed Onama | 45c | 453.77$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb61d…74d2backed Garcia | 53c | 449$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…e194backed Garcia | 58c | 434.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Garcia | 56c | 429.72$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.72 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Onama | 44c | 409.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf826…cd1abacked Garcia | 56c | 376.49$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…1778backed Onama | 40c | 360$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.2 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Garcia | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Garcia | 55c | 340$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Onama | 47c | 333$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14cf…594ebacked Onama | 45c | 322.22$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Onama | 42c | 301.47$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.33 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Garcia | 55c | 281.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Onama | 43c | 271.27$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.64 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Onama | 45c | 264.7$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.12 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Onama | 45c | 264.29$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Garcia | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Onama | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…ec83backed Onama | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef6…8c16backed Onama | 50c | 231.06$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.6 | 113 | 37.2%42 W · 71 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2d…d491backed Onama | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Garcia | 55c | 205.45$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.45 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Onama | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…ce8bbacked Onama | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…900fbacked Garcia | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Onama | 46c | 194.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Onama | 46c | 184.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.64 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Garcia | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Garcia | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 355 | 39.4%140 W · 215 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Garcia | 55c | 178.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Onama | 46c | 177.83$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…462ebacked Onama | 45c | 177$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.65 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85da…13b9backed Garcia | 55c | 176.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…5196backed Onama | 46c | 174.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Garcia | 56c | 171.24$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.78 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Garcia | 56c | 168.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.58 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…af36backed Garcia | 55c | 156.32$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.01 | 487 | 49.1%239 W · 248 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Onama | 24c | 152.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…4dc9backed Onama | 45c | 140.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Onama | 41c | 137$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.17 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…a30cbacked Garcia | 55c | 136.2$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…ecfebacked Garcia | 76c | 131.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x396a…e1e4backed Garcia | 57c | 131$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…d11cbacked Onama | 45c | 130$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…8cb6backed Garcia | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e56…4398backed Garcia | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1e…ea39backed Onama | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 324 | 31.8%103 W · 221 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Garcia vs. Onamathis page
- Ardelean vs. Conejo RuizArdelean won
- Carnelossi vs. AlencarAlencar won
- Cuamba vs. LeeCuamba won
- Delija vs. Cortes-AcostaCortes-Acosta won
- Dulgarian vs. del Valledel Valle won
- Dumas vs. JohnsonJohnson won
- Elekana vs. ChristianElekana won
- Radtke vs. FrunzaRadtke won
- Rowe vs. KoKo won
- Vieira vs. DumontDumont won
- Wells vs. GorimboWells won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.